SiaCoin is an incredible piece of technology with a very talented and devoted development team. I've been holding since it was about 1/6th of the current price, and I'm expecting to hold for many years to come. The long term outlook is very very promising, and the potential is overwhelming. The minuscule amount of inflation is not an issue and has been debunked many times on the SC forums and various other places by the developers and community members, for example:
https://forum.sia.tech/topic/161/about-siacoins-calculation-and-supply/2Inflation chart:
http://imgur.com/n9CIEVM (keep in mind the higher curve at the start is just regular mining, not inflation) -- Main takeaway is that the inflation rate decreases over time once it kicks in around 2020 when all the coins are mined, and it's already very low to begin with. If SC only experiences a 3% growth over the year then sure, you've broken even, but consider that 3% is nothing. Far worse coins are doubling their market cap year after year, and SC is experiencing exceptional growth. It's a nice looking curve, if you ask me. If you can't pull more than 3% growth on your startup then you should probably call it quits to begin with.
Ever since I started investing in crypto 6 years ago I've been able to pick the trends very easily, and I saw SC coming a mile away back when Taek (the dev lead) did his first conference talk. Made a killing in LTC, BTC, ETH, Decred and SiaCoin. The formula I use works well, and it basically boils down to a few factors:
* Development team
* Technology reach
* Software used
* Current valuation and market cap
SiaCoin ticks all the boxes. The biggest recipe for success is betting on people. Technology changes, but people don't. They're either passionate, intelligent, hard-working and skilled -- or they're not. Make sure you do your homework.