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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 01/06/2025, 01:22:49 UTC
https://sam-jaques.appspot.com/quantum_landscape_2024

HODLER:quantum computer babies go away, don't break my bitcoin cup Wink
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 17/05/2025, 01:36:42 UTC
He is a talented British citizen who has long worked on digital wealth research with famous colleagues like Satoshi Nakamoto, Hal Finney and David Chaum.

He didn't actually work "with" any of these 3; when the source you mentioned says "worked alongside" them, it means that they were all active in cryptographic research within the same decade.
He is a great man though, but i  just unfollow him in twitter because he is a bit annoying. Every day he posts nearly 10 tweets including retweets. I don’t like the followings who post too many tweets (>4) per day.
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Board Games and rounds
Re: 🚀💰BTC CONTEST "Beat The Conclave"🚀💰
by
smartcomet
on 27/04/2025, 01:35:44 UTC
BTC price for 30 days after the Pope is elected: 100,500 USD
BTC price for the 60 days after the Pope is elected : 138,000 USD
BTC price for the 90 days after the Pope is elected : 100,300 USD
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Board Development & Technical Discussion
Re: The Quantum Threat to Bitcoin: Implications for Miners, Nodes, and Wallets
by
smartcomet
on 11/12/2024, 02:12:07 UTC
Google announces  Willow, quantum chip.
Quote
The first is that Willow can reduce errors exponentially as we scale up using more qubits. This cracks a key challenge in quantum error correction that the field has pursued for almost 30 years.
Second, Willow performed a standard benchmark computation in under five minutes that would take one of today’s fastest supercomputers 10 septillion (that is, 1025) years — a number that vastly exceeds the age of the Universe.

https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=8329&continueFlag=86a666619f5897003da1fae21f589db6
Quote
Quantum Computing: Between Hope and Hype


https://twitter.com/adam3us/status/1866480523800932364
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the primary use of implementing winternitz signatures (PQ signatures), in bitcoin for now would be to knock out the quantum FUD traders! i can't see PQ being of relevance this decade, or probably more decades. "this time it's different" cool, we await with interest your results!

https://eprint.iacr.org/2011/191.pdf
winternitz signatures
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 08/10/2024, 02:03:47 UTC
Past does not indicate the future, but let's take a look:

AMZN, AAP and GOOGL ten years ago were in the middle of their multi-decade run (and were already dominant multi hundred billion [in market cap] companies).

In Oct 2014:
AMZN was about $16.2, now 180.8 (11.16X)-28% yearly appreciation
AAPL was about $24.5, now 222 (9.04X)-24.55% yearly appreciation
GOOGL was $28.9, now 163 (5.64X)-19% yearly appreciation

Average: 23.85% appreciation in 2014-2024 period.

Bitcoin had 44% yearly appreciation from 1160 in 2013 till now.
M.Saylor was saying that it had 40% appreciation recently, but will decrease somewhat going forward.

It is entirely possible that in the next 10 years bitcoin would slow down to somewhere between 35 and 25% based on the current status and comparing with most dominant companies.
If the number would be 35%, then in Oct 2034, btc would be 1266K and if 25%, 587K (with 926-927K average).
I am not taking into account the halving "schedule"...it very well may be that the peak in the next 10 years would be in 2033, instead,  Cheesy

These numbers make sense to me...

i hope 1M in 3034, but 10 years 10X  is ok
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 02/10/2024, 01:55:22 UTC
It's-a MEEEE  cAPSLOCKIO!  Here to pull the veil back on the flavor of crazy I have been cultivating for a while now.  Don't worry I will not stick around muttering to myself and junking up the place...  But indulge me for a moment.

"I've suffered a great many catastrophes in my life. Most of them never happened" -Mark Twain

"May you be able to see the future, but also be powerless to stop it" - some fictional Chinese asshole curse?

__________________________

The only way to continue to delay the imminent financial collapse of the faulty world economic system and for the powers that be to remain in power, or at least take as much off the table before the floor caves in is WAR.

War, War and more War.

Crazy thing is for the longest time the majority of folks in the west at least have no idea that a war is not STARTING, but has been underway for quite some time now.  We keep waiting for things like "missile strikes" which are coming... for sure.  Do not doubt that.

But consider what WAR would look like with a worldwide information system that is controlled by the people waging these wars.  Consider what war might look like when biological and chemical warfare is not dropped from planes, but fed to the populations of nations who gobble it all up willingly.

The mask has been off for those in power for some time.  Neocons like Lindsay Graham and his delight over killing an entire generation of Ukranians so he and his friends can divide up the resources that country sits on.  And uber wealthy socialist rubes like John Kerry who just openly stated that the First Amendment has made "governing" very difficult since he can no longer control the sources of where people get information, and there is no way to stop the "misinformation and disinformation".  A concept that so many sleeping people are lapping up like pablum.

Put the right flags in your yard.  Be on the side of the right people.  Hate the right people.  As long as you pick a side they do not care which you pick... I mean they have a preference, but as long as you hate the certain groups (often in the name of battling against "hate") then they can control you.

These people print money.  LOAN (God, the hubris) it to poor countries that can never pay it back also demanding that that loan be turned RIGHT around and fed straight back into the western military war machine with all the powerful people greasing their palms along the way, and openly insider trading markets, buying mansions and mansions.  Some of them will likely be assassinated before they get to enjoy the spoils of their deception.  Looking at you Volodymyr.  Maybe you should have stuck with the smaller comedy and acting career you had when you played pianos with your dick instead of upgrading your role to the world stage.  But sweet Miss Lindsay is glad you chose to join them!!! You will most certainly be rewarded! ... ...  I imagine you are fairly afraid at this point... I don't blame you.  Best wishes, and good luck!!

It's kind of obvious to me that one recent play is to set up the narrative that Iran is trying to kill Donald Trump.  Two birds... one stone.  Get rid of an inconvenient politician (who is either truly out of sync with the powers that be, or is playing a fantastic role for them... hard to say, honestly) as well as justify a full scale attack on Iran so we can kill their children and take their resources.  Iran has exactly NO REASON to assassinate Donald Trump.  Lol.  But the "news" will shout this out into the ether with all it's might until enough sleeping people believe, put the new signs in their yards and help the fight against "misinformation" as the useful idiots they are.

And maybe... maybe the next MK-Ultra'd sad sack having been groomed by the CIA will actually be able to make the kill shot.  And the criminals and devils running all this will get what they want again.  And we can start building planes, and missiles, and jobs and interesting new chemicals, and stimulate our economies once again!  Let's all eat bowls and bowls of sugar fried in seed oils!!! HOORAY!  We are winning again!

Though... there are other ways it could play out.  The west may already be defeated and dying.  Mostly hoisted upon it's own petard. Hard not to say good riddance if so.  With an entire generation of children who are questioning whether they even want to TRY to work, and build a life since they are smart enough to see that it is no longer possible.  They will never be able to afford a house.  They cannot even afford rent for a shitty apartment.  They are smart enough to see that... but most are not quite able to see that they are being teed up to be tapped right into the endless hole of surveillance, control, and oppression all in the name of community and fairness.  If they promise to air drop me some of that sweet sweet CBDC "money" then I am all in.  And I am glad if they take it from those other people... those rich people, no no not the ones in control... they can keep theirs, but those ugly ones... those ones who we do not just believe, but we KNOW do not deserve what they have.  Any other opinion is disinformation!  Right?  Right!  All the videos coming out of my phone have convinced me.  This is the most rational and fair path.

Straight to hell.  No hand basket even needed anymore... just download the app.

But this is all also quite tragic.  Sad that one of the greatest tries at equality and freedom will have failed.  Lost mostly because of it's own pride and hubris.

I will watch from over here, becoming a bitter old man, until all the shit I stupidly chose to put in my body all my life finally sets the cancer off.

Oh!  And GO BITCOIN!  I mean maybe... freedom tech can...  Oh never mind... we're fucked.

P.S.  If you read this and think I am crazy you are right.  But if you read it and put me in some polarized box thinking I have some common political position then you are still sleeping in my arrogant opinion.

SYSTEM is too powerful and solid,  maybe the Mars is the future.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 16/09/2024, 02:06:29 UTC

https://privatekeys.pw/puzzles/bitcoin-puzzle-tx
Quote
2024-09-12: puzzle #66 (6.60126013 BTC) was solved by 1Jvv4yWkE9MhbuwGUoqFYzDjRVQHaLWuJd (tx) but the original spending transaction was replaced by bc1qpkp47q5cucrvnyepsdnjcv2kzyav5ze0ta7n67 (tx) spending only 5.93923605 BTC. Another address 15XVN6hFkzGdUTY1XcsYKXxRezjARwyBQx took the rest of the prize: 0.66100387 BTC (tx).

Look like 66bits publickey isn't safe, can be cracked in less than 0.5 seconds.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 27/07/2024, 02:38:39 UTC


https://twitter.com/AutismCapital/status/1816918536272674878
Quote
Michael Saylor of Microstrategy says "Bitcoin will be worth $13,000,000 a coin by the year 2045," at Bitcoin Nashville 2024
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 25/06/2024, 01:51:03 UTC
https://github.com/cryptoquick/bips/blob/e1fa27cb25deee8d58bdb9a64c112dfdf09e216d/bip-p2qrh.mediawiki
Quote
Abstract
This document proposes a new SegWit output type, with spending rules based on SQIsign signatures. (For more on why SQIsign is chosen, see the Security section.) A constraint is that no hard fork or modifications leading to an increase in block size are necessary.

...

Security
Quaternion isogeny signature algorithms represent the state of the art in post-quantum cryptography, beyond lattice cryptography, especially when key and signature length are major constraints.

Quantum resistant signature algorithms ordered by shortest proposed signature size:

SPHINCS+ - 17KB
pqNTRUsign - 702 bytes
FALCON - 666 bytes
HAWK - 652 bytes
SQIsign - 177-335 bytes
SQIsign2D-West - 148-294 bytes
SQIsignHD - 109 bytes



SQIsign, quantum resistance algorithm,  is coming.

don't worry about the price, we'll see 70K in serveral months.
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Merits 1 from 1 user
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 16/05/2024, 01:14:01 UTC
⭐ Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1790885903084216627
Quote
Impressive just how many dif institution types represented in first 13Fs. Here's $IBIT breakdown by type. Only inst type missing is Endowment I think. Normally you don't see this long a list of holder types till years after launch and mega liquidity (which IBIT already has)


Institutions are coming, will we see ATH by the end of May?
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 23/04/2024, 01:47:27 UTC
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 20/04/2024, 01:28:14 UTC
I am so afraid i will be sad in 1-2 days for not selling bitcoin. But years ago i made decision not to sell and buy or trade, but just hold.
I have a bad feeling what is happen in next days, weeks because we are at around 64k on around 1 hour away to halving.

Oh well, balls of steel they say. But today i am not optimistic on short term or on 1 year term.
Someone cheer me up please lol

Well, we are doing awesome compared to half year ago
Hold is correct

If you bought at 30K, sell now, you will get 2x of your fiat, that’s all. After you sell all your bitcoin, how do you feel when bitcoin pass 100k,500k?

At fourth halving completing, there still is odds that bitcoin may crash to 10K.

So you have to play bets, and enjoy the consequence.

Actually win/lose isn’t matter, it is important that we learn from it, so we grow strong.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 15/04/2024, 02:11:50 UTC
I confess I sold some million satoshi yesterday at 63K. I’m not a truly HOLDer, but a weak hand. I am scared when BTC “crushed” to 62K, and I thought it may go to zero.

I shouldn’t sold but bought the dip, because halving is coming in several days.

I shouldn’t neglect JJG’s long post. I should study Toxic’s TA carefully, and I should have a dream in which I will own a same lake as Jimbo.

Have a good day! WOers.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 19/02/2024, 02:20:41 UTC
MicroStrategy bought 91,579 coins from 8/11/2020 to 04/5/2021, and Tesla bought 40K coins at 2/8/2021. They sent bitcoin price to the first top at 4/12/2021 with total 131K coins.

Now ETFs net bought 107,441 from 1/10/2024 to 2/18/2024, and bitcoin price has standed at 52K。If ETFs continue their paces, they will buy 300K coins before halving, so I guess we have odds to see ATH when halving is coming.

https://buybitcoinworldwide.com/microstrategy-statistics/
Quote
MicroStrategy Bitcoin Purchase History
Here is an up-to-date MicroStrategy bitcoin purchases chart(1-29).
Date   BTC Purchased   Amount   Total Bitcoin   Total Dollars
8/11/20   21,454   $250M   21,454   $250M
9/14/20   16,796   $175M   38,250   $425M
12/4/20   2,574   $50M   40,824   $475M
12/21/20   29,646   $650M   70,470   $1.125B
1/22/21   314   $10M   70,784   $1.135B
2/2/21   295   $10M   71,079   $1.145B
2/24/21   19,452   $1.026B   90,531   $2.171B
3/1/21   328   $15M   90,859   $2.186B
3/5/21   205   $10M   91,064   $2.196B
3/12/21   262   $15M   91,326   $2.211B
4/5/21   253   $15M   91,579   $2.226B
5/13/21   271   $15M   91,850   $2.241B
5/18/21   229   $10M   92,079   $2.251B
6/21/21   13,005   $249M   105,085   $2.740B
9/13/21   8,957   $419M   114,042   $3.159B
11/28/21   7,002   $414M   121,044   $3.573B
11/29/21 - 12/8/2021   1,434   $82.4M   122,478   $3.655B
12/30/2021   1,914   $94.2M   124,391   $3.750B
1/1/2022 - 1/31/2022   660   $25M   125,051   $3.775B
2/15/2022 - 4/5/2022   4,167   $190M   129,218   $3.965B
6/28/2022   480   $10M   129,699   $3.975B
9/20/2022   301   $6M   130,000   $3.981B
11/01/2021 - 12/21/2022   2,395   $42.8M   132,395   $4.024B
12/22/2022   -704   $11.8M   131,690   $4.012B
12/24/2022   810   $13.65M   132,500   $4.027B
03/27/2023   6,455   $150.00M   138,955   $4.140B
04/05/2023   1,045   $29.30M   140,000   $4.170B
04/29/2023 - 6/27/2023   12,333   $347M   152,333   $4.517B
07/01/2023 - 7/31/2023   467   $14.4M   152,800   $4.53B
09/24/2023   5,445   $147.3M   158,245   $4.68B
11/01/2023   155   $5.3M   158,400   $4.69B
11/30/2023   16,130   $593.3M   174,530   $5.28B
12/27/2023   14,620   $615.7M   189,150   $5.90B
02/06/2024   850   $37.2M   190,000   $5.93B
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 23/01/2024, 02:38:44 UTC
⭐ Merited by Paashaas (1)
https://cointelegraph.com/news/global-crypto-users-surpasses-half-a-billion-2023-crypto-com-report
Quote
A research report from Crypto.com estimates the number of worldwide cryptocurrency users surged to 580 million people in 2023.
The company estimates that the global number of cryptocurrency users increased by 34% in 2023, growing from 432 million to 580 million people.

Delving deeper into the statistics, Crypto.com reveals that Ether ETH ownership had risen from 89 million users to 124 million, while Bitcoin
BTC ownership had increased from 222 million to 296 million people by the year’s close.

Cryptocurrency users are  about 11% of internet users worldwide, so we are entering into Early adopters of S-curve, and Majority adopters are saving to buy in the future.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 13/01/2024, 02:50:56 UTC
⭐ Merited by El duderino_ (21)
some proposals for a new poll:


Which BTC price will be reached first, 50k or 40k?

What is the Bitcoin price at halving date?

What is the highest Bitcoin price until halving date?

Will we have new ATH before halving?



If ETFs keep their pace of 0.6B net flow per day ,it will be 60B in 100 days. So  may see ATH before havling.

I guess
50K ,70K ,70K ,Yes.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 21/11/2023, 01:51:14 UTC
Quote
NOTICE:Effective Monday 4 December 2023, all trading activity on Bittrex Global will be terminated. After 4 December, customers will only be able to withdraw. Please log in and withdraw all assets.

Actually i dont want to shut down, i want with guys forever Grin
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 11/10/2023, 01:55:15 UTC

Quote
As of August 2023, Lightning is processing roughly 2.5 transactions per second, compared
to Bitcoin’s on-chain average of 4.4 transactions per second.


https://river.com/learn/files/river-lightning-report-2023.pdf
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 11/10/2023, 01:54:10 UTC

Quote
As of August 2023, Lightning is processing roughly 2.5 transactions per second, compared
to Bitcoin’s on-chain average of 4.4 transactions per second.


https://river.com/learn/files/river-lightning-report-2023.pdf
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
smartcomet
on 03/10/2023, 01:42:14 UTC