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Board Bitcoin Discussion
Topic OP
๐Ÿ“‰ [BTC.D Update] Altseason Setup Playing Out โ€” Shakeouts Before the Storm
by
smurftrading
on 24/07/2025, 02:09:42 UTC
https://ibb.co/Zpk5QqGk

๐Ÿ“‰ [๐—•๐—ง๐—–.๐—— ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ] ๐—”๐—น๐˜๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฝ ๐—ฃ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜†๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ข๐˜‚๐˜ โ€” ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜๐˜€ ๐—•๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ

Two months ago, I shared a projection etoro.tw/46P827W where I anticipated Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) would spike to ๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿฒ%, hit resistance, then reverse. That move just played out โ€” exactly as forecasted. BTC.D tapped ๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿฒ.๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฏ%, respected the resistance line, and is now retracing back below a key support zone at ๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿฎ.๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฏ%.

This is a textbook rotation setup and an extremely bullish structural shift โ€” ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ท๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—•๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป, ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฒ.


โœ… ๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐——๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ: ๐—•๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ป ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ
- The BTC.D chart respected the ascending trendline resistance
- A clean break below 62.13%, confirming that dominance has peaked for this leg.
- Likely retesting 62.13% from below before heading lower

This isnโ€™t bearish for BTC. In fact, in the ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐˜†๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ฒ, BTC Dominance peaked, broke down โ€” and ๐—•๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ณ ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ~๐Ÿต๐Ÿฌ%.

What it does mean is that money is rotating. From Bitcoin dominance, back into ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜๐˜€.


๐Ÿ“‰ ๐—”๐—น๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€: ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜๐˜€ ๐—•๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐˜‚๐—ป
Over the past week, some alts have pulled back after strong rallies โ€” XRP for instance is down 11%, and others are showing similar retracements.

Are we worried?

๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น.

This is exactly what happens before a real altseason begins. Shakeouts, minor corrections โ€” these are designed to ๐—ณ๐—น๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ต ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€, shake confidence, and create emotional exhaustion. Market makers and whales do this all the time.

But if you're looking at the ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ, nothing has changed in the overall structure:

- Altcoin rallies began right when BTC.D peaked.
- Those who were positioned early are simply seeing healthy pullbacks.
- The ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€, not the tourists, will benefit from the next leg.

The ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ท๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป is not cancelled โ€” itโ€™s ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด.


๐Ÿง  ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฃ๐˜€๐˜†๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ด๐˜†: ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜ƒ๐˜€. ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป
Most people give up right here.

They see 10% drops and panic. They question the setup, the strategy, the outlook. They flip back to Bitcoin or Tether out. And then, a week later, the altcoins they sold at a loss are +40% again.

This is the exact zone where you need to zoom out and revisit your thesis.

This is not the time to be reactive. It's the time to understand the macro setup thatโ€™s unfolding โ€” one that ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ท๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐˜†๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฐ๐˜†๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ฒ:

1. BTC.D rallies hard โ†’ Altcoins bleed.
2. BTC.D peaks โ†’ Altcoins bottom.
3. BTC.D breaks down โ†’ Altcoins begin to rally.
4. Pullback โ†’ Shakeouts to remove weak holders.
5. BTC.D resumes downtrend โ†’ Altseason ignites.

Weโ€™re currently sitting between ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐Ÿฐ and ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐Ÿฑ.


๐Ÿ” ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜…๐˜?
Hereโ€™s what Iโ€™m watching:

- ๐—•๐—ง๐—–.๐—— ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿฎ.๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฏ% ๐˜‡๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ โ€” this level is key. If the retest fails and dominance gets rejected there, itโ€™s a strong signal that rotation into alts will continue.

- ๐—”๐—น๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐˜€ โ€” after the pullback, if XRP, SOL, AVAX, etc. form higher support zones, it confirms continuation.

- ๐—ฉ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€ โ€” we want to see accumulation, not distribution, during these pullbacks.

In simple terms: ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜ ๐—ฎ ๐˜€๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—•๐—ง๐—–.๐——, but prepare for ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜…๐˜ ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ด ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ป, which should kick off the next phase of the ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ป.


๐Ÿ’ก ๐—œ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜๐—ฒ: ๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐˜†
One common misconception is that if BTC Dominance falls, Bitcoin price must go down.

Wrong.

In the ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌโ€“๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿญ ๐—ฐ๐˜†๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ฒ, BTC.D peaked around 73%. It then fell all the way to 39% โ€” during that fall, ๐—•๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ from ~$๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐—ธ ๐˜๐—ผ $๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿฐ๐—ธ.

How? Because altcoins rallied ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ, soaking up more dominance.

So a BTC.D breakdown isnโ€™t bearish for BTC โ€” itโ€™s just more ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ต for ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜๐˜€.


๐Ÿ”’ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐˜€: ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—›๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ถ๐—ป
This is the part where people get tested.
Markets never go up in a straight line. The real move shakes out as many as possible before taking off.

If you're feeling uncertain right now, ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚'๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ โ€” but thatโ€™s also why conviction pays the most.

Stick to your thesis.
Respect your entries.
Zoom out.
And when everyone else is panicking in the red, you prepare for the green.

We saw this coming.
Now itโ€™s about ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜€๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—น๐˜† for what comes next.

๐Ÿš€ Let the altseason unfold.

๐ŸŽฅ If this post resonated with you, I break it down even further in my latest video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=yLhXAcA7hMY โ€” Like & sub if you find it valuable. Every bit of support helps!๐Ÿ™
Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Did You Catch These Entry Levels in the Last Cycle? BTC/BNB/XRP
by
smurftrading
on 23/07/2025, 09:19:10 UTC
I got Bitcoin under $7000 but I donโ€™t buy many Altcoins. Itโ€™s not important exact price levels for entry if you have patience & can hold long term. Nobody cares if they bought at $7,000 or $10,000 now do they. Just set up a DCA regular buy plan & stick to it. Start small & keep buying, you will not regret it.

Totally agree with you โ€” patience really is the ultimate edge in this space. Iโ€™ve seen people overthink entries down to the dollar, but in the bigger picture, it's the conviction and consistency that matter more.

DCA with a long-term mindset beats timing 99% of the time. Respect for catching BTC under $7k too โ€” that alone is legendary enough! ๐Ÿ”ฅ
Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Topic OP
Did You Catch These Entry Levels in the Last Cycle? BTC/BNB/XRP
by
smurftrading
on 23/07/2025, 08:47:31 UTC
Hey all,

Just wanted to open up this poll to see how many here actually managed to catch those golden entries during the last major accumulation phase.

One of my first copiers on eToro recently crossed 500%+ gains, and I put together a short video breaking down the rotation strategy and how we held through the various phases โ€” from disbelief to euphoria.

It wasnโ€™t about hype or moonshots, just disciplined allocation and catching the right narratives early (entries like BTC ~6.3k, BNB ~30, XRP ~0.46).

๐ŸŽฅ Hereโ€™s the 5-min video if you're curious:
๐Ÿ‘‰ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yLhXAcA7hMY

Not selling anything โ€” just sharing my thought process and what helped us ride it through. Would love to hear if anyone else had similar entries or if you're preparing differently this time around.

Drop your vote above and feel free to share your own strategy or story.