https://ibb.co/Zpk5QqGk๐ [๐๐ง๐.๐ ๐จ๐ฝ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ] ๐๐น๐๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ป ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฝ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ข๐๐ โ ๐ฆ๐ต๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ผ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐บ
Two months ago, I shared a projection etoro.tw/46P827W where I anticipated Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) would spike to ๐ฒ๐ฒ%, hit resistance, then reverse. That move just played out โ exactly as forecasted. BTC.D tapped ๐ฒ๐ฒ.๐ฌ๐ฏ%, respected the resistance line, and is now retracing back below a key support zone at ๐ฒ๐ฎ.๐ญ๐ฏ%.
This is a textbook rotation setup and an extremely bullish structural shift โ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ท๐๐๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ถ๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป, ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ ๐๐ต๐ผ๐น๐ฒ.
โ
๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ: ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฑ๐ผ๐๐ป ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ณ๐ถ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฒ๐ฑ
- The BTC.D chart respected the ascending trendline resistance
- A clean break below 62.13%, confirming that dominance has peaked for this leg.
- Likely retesting 62.13% from below before heading lower
This isnโt bearish for BTC. In fact, in the ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐๐ ๐ฐ๐๐ฐ๐น๐ฒ, BTC Dominance peaked, broke down โ and ๐๐ถ๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป ๐ถ๐๐๐ฒ๐น๐ณ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ถ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ผ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ~๐ต๐ฌ%.
What it does mean is that money is rotating. From Bitcoin dominance, back into ๐ฎ๐น๐๐.
๐ ๐๐น๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป๐: ๐ฆ๐ต๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ผ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐๐ป
Over the past week, some alts have pulled back after strong rallies โ XRP for instance is down 11%, and others are showing similar retracements.
Are we worried?
๐ก๐ผ๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ๐น๐น.
This is exactly what happens before a real altseason begins. Shakeouts, minor corrections โ these are designed to ๐ณ๐น๐๐๐ต ๐ผ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐, shake confidence, and create emotional exhaustion. Market makers and whales do this all the time.
But if you're looking at the ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ด๐ด๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ถ๐ฐ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ, nothing has changed in the overall structure:
- Altcoin rallies began right when BTC.D peaked.
- Those who were positioned early are simply seeing healthy pullbacks.
- The ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ต๐ผ๐น๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐, not the tourists, will benefit from the next leg.
The ๐บ๐ฎ๐ท๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป is not cancelled โ itโs ๐น๐ผ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ด.
๐ง ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ผ๐น๐ผ๐ด๐: ๐๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐. ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ณ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
Most people give up right here.
They see 10% drops and panic. They question the setup, the strategy, the outlook. They flip back to Bitcoin or Tether out. And then, a week later, the altcoins they sold at a loss are +40% again.
This is the exact zone where you need to zoom out and revisit your thesis.
This is not the time to be reactive. It's the time to understand the macro setup thatโs unfolding โ one that ๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ท๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐๐ฝ๐๐ผ ๐ฐ๐๐ฐ๐น๐ฒ:
1. BTC.D rallies hard โ Altcoins bleed.
2. BTC.D peaks โ Altcoins bottom.
3. BTC.D breaks down โ Altcoins begin to rally.
4. Pullback โ Shakeouts to remove weak holders.
5. BTC.D resumes downtrend โ Altseason ignites.
Weโre currently sitting between ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐ฐ and ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐ฑ.
๐ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ ๐ก๐ฒ๐
๐?
Hereโs what Iโm watching:
- ๐๐ง๐.๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฒ๐ฎ.๐ญ๐ฏ% ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ โ this level is key. If the retest fails and dominance gets rejected there, itโs a strong signal that rotation into alts will continue.
- ๐๐น๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป๐ ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ถ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐น๐ผ๐๐ โ after the pullback, if XRP, SOL, AVAX, etc. form higher support zones, it confirms continuation.
- ๐ฉ๐ผ๐น๐๐บ๐ฒ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ณ๐ถ๐น๐ฒ๐ ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป๐ โ we want to see accumulation, not distribution, during these pullbacks.
In simple terms: ๐ฒ๐
๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ ๐ฎ ๐๐บ๐ฎ๐น๐น ๐ฏ๐ผ๐๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ง๐.๐, but prepare for ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ป๐ฒ๐
๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ด ๐ฑ๐ผ๐๐ป, which should kick off the next phase of the ๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฟ๐๐ป.
๐ก ๐๐บ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐ก๐ผ๐๐ฒ: ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฆ๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐
One common misconception is that if BTC Dominance falls, Bitcoin price must go down.
Wrong.
In the ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฌโ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐๐ฐ๐น๐ฒ, BTC.D peaked around 73%. It then fell all the way to 39% โ during that fall, ๐๐ถ๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ถ๐ฒ๐ฑ from ~$๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ธ ๐๐ผ $๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ธ.
How? Because altcoins rallied ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ, soaking up more dominance.
So a BTC.D breakdown isnโt bearish for BTC โ itโs just more ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต for ๐ฎ๐น๐๐.
๐ ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ง๐ต๐ผ๐๐ด๐ต๐๐: ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐ ๐ช๐ถ๐ป
This is the part where people get tested.
Markets never go up in a straight line. The real move shakes out as many as possible before taking off.
If you're feeling uncertain right now, ๐๐ผ๐'๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ฎ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ โ but thatโs also why conviction pays the most.
Stick to your thesis.
Respect your entries.
Zoom out.
And when everyone else is panicking in the red, you prepare for the green.
We saw this coming.
Now itโs about ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐๐น๐ for what comes next.
๐ Let the altseason unfold.
๐ฅ If this post resonated with you, I break it down even further in my latest video:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=yLhXAcA7hMY โ Like & sub if you find it valuable. Every bit of support helps!๐