I'm very very new to bitcoin (I just set up my bitcoin wallet yesterday). I've been skimming material about bitcoin for about 6 months, but wanting to get a little deeper and potentially make a small profit. I was almost certain I wanted to get an R4 or S9, but after reading a bit here it seems that they are not that reliable. I then started looking at the a741 which seems to be much more reliable but significantly less efficient.
If were starting today from scratch but knowing what you know, what would you go with? In case it would come up or if somebody wants to let me know my calculations are off, my power cost .07952/kWh. For the T9, I calculated a break-even time of 214 days assuming $1300 for hardware costs, current difficulty of 521974519554, bitcoin to dollar price of $1529. For the a741, I calculated 321 assuming a hardware cost of $1000.
Am I being overly optimistic assuming I can run one 24/7 for a year or until break-even. What else am I missing? I'm fine with it taking a year to break-even, but longer than that and I start to question whether I want to do mining at all. Also, another thing I'm curious about is how people with dozens or even a couple got started. Did you buy one and expand slowly from there or just make a decision when you got started and go all in? Thanks in advance for all the help.