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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 20/04/2025, 16:10:27 UTC
⭐ Merited by El duderino_ (4)
mmm US defaults on the bonds and trump coins takes over.

my 10 coins go to 10 million worthless dollars.

oh coinbase finally shut my account other than withdrawals. they say I failed to give proper kyc.

So that is the end of them for me as I simply am not giving them more info than.

passport
real id
bank accounts that show over 95,000 a year in direct deposit income
from three us government agencies.

opm fed pension
ssa
vet pension .

I do not understand why they think they did not get enough info.

I think it is censorship of some kind.

I wonder if they will do this to me with my other  exchange accounts.

What else did they ask?

Have you used this account before no problem and suddenly they asked more without direct cause (obvious to you)?
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 28/03/2025, 01:42:18 UTC


This oscillator uses trig functions and moving averages of 210,000 blocks, which makes it top once and bottom once per halving.  The next top may be five months away or so unless bitcoin misbehaves, which it usually seems to do sooner or later (just look at 2021).  I scaled the oscillator arbitrarily and superimposed it on the price chart.

Hey man! Smiley

Did you do do this for before 2017 too? Or does if not work there for some reason?
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 18/03/2025, 15:38:06 UTC
⭐ Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
Lol at all the people here buying Trump coins 🤦‍♂️

What happened to this place?

(And no I'm not anti Trump, very pleased he won, but buying his meme coin is fucking stupid).
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 04/12/2024, 17:37:02 UTC
Someone was clearly very angry about health insurance and decided to shoot the big boss. Considering how much these bastards make off of other people's health, I find it a little strange that they walk the streets without protection.



....
Some F.U.D.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/does-trump-want-annex-canada-224129214.html


FUD? I know Canadians who would be happy  Cheesy

I mean... Trudeau?

A healthy Canada would internally split up rather than join the US. The woke part is a parasite on the productive part with their forced annual equity payments of many billions.

Trudeau is from the woke part. He can lead the bankrupt husk of a nation and live in his fairy make believe land.
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Merits 11 from 2 users
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 18/09/2024, 13:47:45 UTC
⭐ Merited by El duderino_ (10) ,Paashaas (1)
Impressive move from (most likely) Mossad, placing explosive materials in thousands of beepers/pagers before shipping to Hezbollah terrorists and letting them detonate simultaneously resulting in deaths and many injured.

They had those devices in their pants which means a lot of them lost their testicles yesterday.

Oef!!

The fact that Mossad was able to pull this off is a really scary fact regardless of who they used it against this time.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 29/11/2023, 00:25:20 UTC
Wow! Impressed!

The girl in red even appears to be aware of the situation and enjoying it (her mouth increasingly smiling). Also the movement of their body/hands and even the people in the background, appear very natural. This looks much more than merely morphing the image by a simple shift+interpolate.

AI has come a long way, it's getting mildly scary...

BTW, a friend was telling me the other day, that the banking system will soon be using AI to detect "unusual" money traffic and screen/block transactions at will. Something that is now done by humans on very few select cases will soon be done by AI in real-time on the entirety of the accounts.

Bitcoin fixes this, but TPTB have immense power, that is not to be underestimated. And, remember, the entire blockchain is public and available. Feed it to an AI and it could link addresses to wallets, to old transactions, to actual names of real people. No Bitcoin mixer will be able to stop it, at least as things currently stand. Reminds me of Jimmy Zhong's story and how the FBI/IRS caught him, same with Ross Ulbricht and others. An AI would be able to find them in a fraction of the time humans could. And even draft the indictment documents, complete with all needed evidence, while at it.

I'm more worried than excited if I'm honest, because it is 100% certain that AI will be used by the establishment as a tool to exert influence, authority, pressure and control over people. And, considering the huge amount of resources needed to implement such an AI, it won't be a poor man's sport. Human lawyers won't stand a chance against an AI prosecutor.

Maybe another Nakamoto will soon be sorely needed...

Memes aside, I had similar thoughts just a few minutes back. I was watching some stories about the OpenAI saga that happened last week, and people are speculating that the reason behind this drama could be an AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) Project Q* (Q Star). Speculatively, OpenAI has created something really big that could directly harm or challenge humanity, and Sam Altman might have been moving fast. He hinted about "some significant breakthrough" during OpenAI's first developer conference, and even Elon Musk replied to Ilya Sutskever to explain if there's something potentially dangerous to humanity.


https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1726753202786173249

Yes, it's not just scary; it will come back to haunt the creators (us), and no one will be safe. I don't want to be dramatic, but if AI takes over, we will lose trust in humanity. It will be impossible to differentiate if it's AI commanding you or some humans.

And this banking AI theory to deduct frauds is less scary when you consider that many governments are using AI technologies to predict and prevent crimes. This means you could be arrested because it's predicted that you might commit a crime in the future.



Talking about Q* and the rumors AES-192 is broken. That in itself poses no threat to Bitcoin but what if ECDSA is broken? To what degree can Bitcoin be taken arbitrarily then?

As far as I know only from re-used addresses (addresses with outgoing transactions). But surely it lowers the security of addresses with balances but no outgoing transactions to some degree too right? Does anyone know by how much?

What risk is there to Bitcoin if this ends up being true?

(Of course SHA-256 is a risk too, but as long as 1 hashing algorithm is still secure Bitcoin has somewhere to pivot to for mining if that's broken).
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 14/03/2023, 01:42:35 UTC
what this has to do with "crypto" in the first place?

Jeopardy: "A recent Silicon Valley-based bank that was a major player in providing fiat liquidity for the crypto exchanges"

nonsense...SVB and signature had very little exposure to "crypto". The only one that had was Silvergate, which failed quietly.
The rest failed because of the mismatch between withdrawals and declined value of holdings.
You listen to MSM a bit too much, it seems.
They call it this way to place the blame on us, but it does not "stick".

Also Silverbank didn't fail. It's closing down while fulfilling all it's obligations.

SVB defaulted and is getting itself bailed out with tax payer money. Tax payer money to pay the 650M Oprah supposedly had there and all of prince Harry's millions.

Are you all enjoying democracy and it's enormous weakness to lobbying?

America is not a democracy.  It is a democratic republic which is really far from Democracy.

US wasn't designed to be a democracy. All the power leaked from the states to the federal government. It's a defacto democracy. If you think that a level of indirection saves you from that you are delusional. The founding fathers are rolling in their graves.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 14/03/2023, 01:41:14 UTC
what this has to do with "crypto" in the first place?

Jeopardy: "A recent Silicon Valley-based bank that was a major player in providing fiat liquidity for the crypto exchanges"

nonsense...SVB and signature had very little exposure to "crypto". The only one that had was Silvergate, which failed quietly.
The rest failed because of the mismatch between withdrawals and declined value of holdings.
You listen to MSM a bit too much, it seems.
They call it this way to place the blame on us, but it does not "stick".

Also Silverbank didn't fail. It's closing down while fulfilling all it's obligations.

SVB defaulted and is getting itself bailed out with tax payer money. Tax payer money to pay the 650M Oprah supposedly had there and all of prince Harry's millions.

Are you all enjoying democracy and it's enormous weakness to lobbying?

America is not a democracy.  It is a democratic republic which is really far from Democracy.

US wasn't designed to be a democracy. All the power leaked from the states to the federal government. It's a defacto democracy. If you think that a level of indirection saves you from that you are delusional. The founding fathers are rolling in their Graves.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 13/03/2023, 18:24:25 UTC
what this has to do with "crypto" in the first place?

Jeopardy: "A recent Silicon Valley-based bank that was a major player in providing fiat liquidity for the crypto exchanges"

nonsense...SVB and signature had very little exposure to "crypto". The only one that had was Silvergate, which failed quietly.
The rest failed because of the mismatch between withdrawals and declined value of holdings.
You listen to MSM a bit too much, it seems.
They call it this way to place the blame on us, but it does not "stick".

Also Silverbank didn't fail. It's closing down while fulfilling all it's obligations.

SVB defaulted and is getting itself bailed out with tax payer money. Tax payer money to pay the 650M Oprah supposedly had there and all of prince Harry's millions.

Are you all enjoying democracy and it's enormous weakness to lobbying?
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Merits 1 from 1 user
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 13/01/2023, 17:19:32 UTC
⭐ Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
Regarding ColdKey, the project may look cool and satisfy some coiners' egos or whatever, but from the very beginning it was an idea based on trusting the creator, which is an instant no-no when it comes to Bitcoin. I personally would not trust my keys to anyone (not even my parents or siblings or GF/wife or whoever else). Not because I don't love them or trust them in the general sense. But it is a fact that all of us are human beings and are thus prone to mistakes and weaknesses, which can lead to compromising the security of whatever it is we want to protect.

When it comes to Bitcoin, you keep a low profile, NEVER reveal your keys to ANYONE, never advertise specific amounts or even ownership of any coins, never brag about how rich you are, and never compromise your OPSEC.

There's no need for ColdKeys. The best ColdKey is stored in our neurons, and should stay in there, and stay immaterial. Just like Bitcoin.
I agree with everything you've wrote, but I disagree if you wouldn't trust anyone with your keys because we're humans, we're not eternal in this world and we don't know when we left this world.

I don't think you would abandon all of your money you've make until right now, there's must be someone need to take over your Bitcoin and continue your journey to hold it.

At least your child need to know your keys, of course after they're matured, know about Bitcoin and already understand about money management.

If you die without giving the keys to anyone, the value of your stash will be distributed among all existing Bitcoiners...

I suspect frozen stale addresses with no outgoing withdrawals will one day be forfeited and add to mining rewards. Maybe starting in 2064 as the 2009 transaction would be 55 years old.

So never having a death plan for your coins means they will likely go back to miners one day.

Why? There's no benefit to that as the exact number of outstanding Bitcoin is irrelevant and in fact it would be a form of central planning is they would be sssigned to a particular group (miners in your example).

In fact, Satoshi said all lost bitcoin should be seen as a donation to everyone else.

If someone does this it will just create another BSV shitcoin 😅
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 11/01/2023, 18:21:36 UTC
@DU09BTC
🚨  This is the first bear market where #Bitcoin  was scooped up no matter the price.

Look at the green line. It's at ATH!  🚀

15 mil #BTC  is being stored in cold wallets. That is 78% of all #BTC 

Only 4 mil left for the rest + 2 mil to be mined. Not much.

The future is bright.
https://twitter.com/du09btc/status/1613161469369286656



That's because there was no blow off peak this time. No clear overvaluation means no reason to sell for accumulators.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 27/12/2022, 18:48:05 UTC
The rumors are they holding 635,000 BTC

It is not a rumor that Grayscale has over 600k BTC in its possession, as well as a bunch of altcoins that have allegedly already been dumped or are doing so recently. Anyway, who still believes in some irrelevant Twitter account specializing in FUD, who invites his followers to his Telegram channel where he is obviously trying to sell them some super cool projects?

Some how you are absolutely right about this Twitter account, full of bs!


https://twitter.com/WhaleChart/status/1607633485719633920

Nonsense, of course it's Nick Szabo.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 27/12/2022, 13:45:47 UTC
⭐ Merited by Gachapin (1)
sry couldn't find the article that I read anymore...

but here is an older one from summer:
https://fortune.com/2022/07/12/texas-bitcoin-miners-paid-shut-down-power-grid-electricity-blackout-heat/

Sorry, it’s behind a paywall.

That's what 12ft.io is for.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 14/12/2022, 17:03:06 UTC
⭐ Merited by _javi_ (1)

It's not strange if we take into account that the penalty kick was not checked with VAR, and neither was the one I think was in the match against Poland. It is also not strange if we take into account which referees FIFA assigned for that match, and these are the same ones who sat in the VAR room during the final between Croatia and France 4 years ago, with the help of the corrupt chief referee of course - the whole world saw it.

There is no doubt that Argentina was better in last night's game, but as a nation you didn't really show that you know how to behave appropriately neither when you win nor when you lose - the Croatian jerseys that your players received ended up in the trash can, just like the Mexican ones before that - it is shameful behavior.

It was a clear penalty. No need to check VAR. It's called Obstruction. The keeper prevented Alvarez from doing a follow-up, hitting him without even touching the ball.
Check the video: https://twitter.com/i/status/1602758084157329410, and look how the keeper opens his right leg, even when Alvarez already passed by.


You are talking nonsense. Jerseys are cherished and valued.

And when a team ("nation") shows respect before and during the match, it's respected after it.







A direct free kick in the penalty box is a penalty.
An indirect free kick in the penalty box is not a penalty but simply an indirect free kick in the penalty box where the foul was made.

The penalty for obstruction is an indirect penalty. Hence this WASNT a penalty.

Btw the same is true for kicking too high.

Refereer seem to have forgotten the indirect free kick in the box measure fox anything except when the keeper pick up a bankpassen, erronously choosing between giving a penalty or giving nothing.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 16/11/2022, 18:15:28 UTC

And like it or not no one knows if LN network kills off mining or helps mining down the road.


I promise I will stop making this point over and over, but  I am going to try one last time.

Lightning (or ANY OTHER scaling layer/solution) cannot 'kill off mining'.  It's sort of a catch 22 but positive.

You only need lightning if blocks are full (and for instant settlement).  If blocks are not full people will not need to use lightning.

Lightning will KEEP blocks full.  Lightning service providers are going to compete on the base layer to write settlement transactions.  For the entire world!

Individual users are not going to want to pay the sort of fees necessary to keep miners supported as the subsidy wanes, but layer 2 service provider certainly will.

I honestly cannot figure out how you are scared by this.

_edit_ as a matter of fact we are seeing this play out right now.  Blocks are super full with a mucilaginous backlog (thanks to Binance and people pulling stuff off exchanges?)  If I need to make a transaction I am definitely going to want to do it over lightning if I can.  So lightning is NOT killing the miners.  It is saving the individual.

Indeed. The free market will simply find an equilibrium and gravitate to it.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 16/11/2022, 00:31:09 UTC
⭐ Merited by JayJuanGee (1)


Next time, I am not waiting even for a new ATH, will probably sell a large % portion earlier (if we ever get there-to my undisclosed current sell target).
It feels silly to sell at 16K, though, so I don't.


You're going to end up really disappointed if you do that.

Well, I already did not sell twice: at 20K in 2017 and 69K in 2021, there would NOT be a 3rd time.
Albeit, I also did not 'mindtrust' at $175 in 2015, $3100 in 2018 and $3800 in 2020.
Part of it is age...waiting for 10 years makes no sense to me.
However, I am not going to sell all...maybe 30-40% or so.

Same here and it might very well be a third. Why on Earth would you sell so much without even a new ATH?

Are you in desperate need of liquid funds or something?

Yes when reading your post I had Mindrust in mind. I almost added "be careful not to do a mindrust" to the end of my post.

Just sell what you need in immediate liquidity and keep the rest until we get anywhere close to final state valuation. We are not anywhere close to that. I mean Bitcoin market cap is only 2x ETH. Just that relative valuation should tell you enough already.

Just as he says, time is ticking. I bought when I was 32 and now I am 41. I still live the same life as with 32. No luxury, no gold digger chicks, nothing. And then I also wonder wtf is going on with those YouTube morons like “the moon” who got in in 2017 I believe and is a multi millionaire driving Bugattis and shit while I got in in 2013 and still driving an 2007 BMW. I must have done something very wrong lol. Ok I don’t have an eye on luxury. But a decent Porsche is something I earned after 9 years of holding through the wildest swings.

If you want to sell some because you want to spend the proceeds now or very soon that is different from selling 30-40% indiscriminately for no real reason (except "price swings are scary").

Again: do as you wish. Just gave my opinion on the matter.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 15/11/2022, 23:58:05 UTC


Next time, I am not waiting even for a new ATH, will probably sell a large % portion earlier (if we ever get there-to my undisclosed current sell target).
It feels silly to sell at 16K, though, so I don't.


You're going to end up really disappointed if you do that.

Well, I already did not sell twice: at 20K in 2017 and 69K in 2021, there would NOT be a 3rd time.
Albeit, I also did not 'mindtrust' at $175 in 2015, $3100 in 2018 and $3800 in 2020.
Part of it is age...waiting for 10 years makes no sense to me.
However, I am not going to sell all...maybe 30-40% or so.

Same here and it might very well be a third. Why on Earth would you sell so much without even a new ATH?

Are you in desperate need of liquid funds or something?

Yes when reading your post I had Mindrust in mind. I almost added "be careful not to do a mindrust" to the end of my post.

Just sell what you need in immediate liquidity and keep the rest until we get anywhere close to final state valuation. We are not anywhere close to that. I mean Bitcoin market cap is only 2x ETH. Just that relative valuation should tell you enough already.

not in need of funds and not selling before roughly 3X from here, but will not wait for 150K.

30-40% under 50k? That's quite a waste if you're not in need of liquidity (imo, of course up to you).

At least make sure not to sell early and then later FOMO back in (right below the top).
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 15/11/2022, 22:53:51 UTC


Next time, I am not waiting even for a new ATH, will probably sell a large % portion earlier (if we ever get there-to my undisclosed current sell target).
It feels silly to sell at 16K, though, so I don't.


You're going to end up really disappointed if you do that.

Well, I already did not sell twice: at 20K in 2017 and 69K in 2021, there would NOT be a 3rd time.
Albeit, I also did not 'mindtrust' at $175 in 2015, $3100 in 2018 and $3800 in 2020.
Part of it is age...waiting for 10 years makes no sense to me.
However, I am not going to sell all...maybe 30-40% or so.

Same here and it might very well be a third. Why on Earth would you sell so much without even a new ATH?

Are you in desperate need of liquid funds or something?

Yes when reading your post I had Mindrust in mind. I almost added "be careful not to do a mindrust" to the end of my post.

Just sell what you need in immediate liquidity and keep the rest until we get anywhere close to final state valuation. We are not anywhere close to that. I mean Bitcoin market cap is only 2x ETH. Just that relative valuation should tell you enough already.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 15/11/2022, 22:17:34 UTC
⭐ Merited by JayJuanGee (1)


Next time, I am not waiting even for a new ATH, will probably sell a large % portion earlier (if we ever get there-to my undisclosed current sell target).
It feels silly to sell at 16K, though, so I don't.


You're going to end up really disappointed if you do that.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
wachtwoord
on 14/11/2022, 17:19:35 UTC
So ...

Just flow with me here for a sec... What if this whole FTX thing was really a set-up.  Powers that be come in... got SB-F hooked on SOMETHING.  Have you seen the videos of him vibrating like a diesel engine?  Then start making less and less veiled threats 'till they set up the collapse.  Have legislation ready in the countries they control to try to bring the whole thing down over a few weeks...

Nah.  Just a ponzi prolly.

[]


Also this.

https://www.weforum.org/organizations/ftx

All these lenders/exchanges fail one after another.  I wouldn't be too surprised, if setting up (some of) these companies just to pull the plug afterwards was an attack of tptb.  We are in an era of covert wars so it would fit the zeitgeist.

 

So few see it still... which makes me fear we are doomed.  Almost no one realizes we are ~50 years into WWIII.  But it's getting pretty heavy now.  The next few years will be interesting if nothing else.

..because we aren't, perhaps?
I don't think you know how WWIII would really look like.

Appearently you don't as you don't recognize it while je does. Covert operations are hip, they are actually getting more and more overt (as it's more and more obvious) but the plebis is more and more compliant.

Not sure that I get what you are talking about...let's just agree to call apples and oranges appropriate names and not mix them up.
What this has to do with "plebs"? The notion that we are at WWIII for 50 years sounds so improbable that not much explanation is required, really, as it is self-evident.
People call WWars when a a large scale kinetic warfare occurs at multiple sites over the globe simultaneously with at least dozens of countries involved, tens of millions (or more) eventually dead.
Where was THAT in the last 50 years?

🤦‍♂️