Quote from: MikeMike on August 09, 2013, 12:08:45 PM

Quote from: drofdelm on August 09, 2013, 11:58:03 AM

Quote from: MikeMike on August 09, 2013, 11:37:21 AM

Quote from: drofdelm on August 09, 2013, 11:11:01 AM

Quote from: MikeMike on August 09, 2013, 10:25:45 AM

Can somebody please provide the calculations on this investment
showing ROI after Increased difficulty and October/Early November delivery?

I've been pondering the same thing. The question you have to ask yourself is what do you think the average rate of difficulty increase you expect to see? To me it seems that we are entering explosive difficulty growth. The next difficulty increase to hit looks to be about 30%. If that is sustained you are looking at 50-60% growth per month. While not perfect I found a good calculator I like to use. It would be nice if it did more than monthly difficulty increases but it's close enough for rough numbers.

You can find it here: btcinvest calculator

I plugged some numbers in and assuming 50% difficulty growth per month you would get about a 66% return on your .15 btc invested over one year. ROI would be achieved after nine weeks of hashing assuming it starts on November 1. So you are looking at ROI, with these assumptions, by January 1.

You can find the calculator with the parameters I used here: btcinvest assumptions.

The two major factors here are of course delivery time and difficulty.

I'm very tempted to jump in on this. I'll probably make a decision early next week but wouldn't be able to get funds for many days.

http://mining.thegenesisblock.com/

Wow. I didn't realize that the current 30 day average was 75%. It looked to me it was more in the 60% range. Anything north of 65% quickly becomes a money pit. Thanks for showing me that.

What changes this is BTC price.
IMO fair value is over 125USD per share and quickly becoming justified to hit the 200+ range.

Another way to look at it is get in get out with long term holding. I want to get back my capital as quickly as possible and then get as many bitcoins as possible from that investment. Lather, rinse, repeat. That of course doesn't work if you can't get it back out.

But I think we are now well off topic. This is the last I have to say on the matter.

drofdelm

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