Quote from: kano on October 25, 2017, 12:24:13 AM

Quote from: gnu123 on October 25, 2017, 12:13:45 AM

Quote from: philipma1957 on October 25, 2017, 12:02:50 AM

Quote from: gnu123 on October 24, 2017, 11:30:35 PM

I remember some years ago when slush pool had a several month long streak with really bad luck, but as i remember it they found out it was some bug cousing it
.

This is maybe just bad luck but how big is the chance of getting 2 devilblocks so close to each other ? Or should I see it as every new block is a new block and what happened before doesnt matter at all ?

The first block was 1 in 2000

The second block is About 1 in 2000

But they were not back to back which would be a 1 in 4,000,000 chance.

My math skills to determine. The chance of two .9996 cdf blocks out of four are not up to the task.

The fact that we had 2 good blocks between 2 devilblocks must change the "1 in 4000000" chance, but that´s above my pay-grade.

Yeah the problem is that you can't actually use the result of that calculation.
Statistics requires impartiality.

Selecting a range of data, specifically based on the results: the first and last being the worst possible values, invalidates the statistical analysis.

As you will see on the web site, there is no CDF[Erl] of data that defines a set of data based on the results of that data, since that isn't valid.
The boundaries are all unrelated to the results -> months, or a specific number of blocks.

Ah ok. Then i understand, more.

gnu123

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