Quote from: Tomatocage on July 24, 2012, 10:17:36 PM

Wait, so we've got three separate bets going on here?

No, apparently I was mistaken:

Quote from: dooglus on July 24, 2012, 10:22:36 PM

Quote from: myrkul on July 24, 2012, 10:12:59 PM

The October bet is something else. (see my sig)

The 5000 BTC bet was for October 2013. See https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=91661.msg1013612#msg1013612

You're talking about the futures bet, 50 BTC at $11 each, but that's October 2012 and is entirely different.

All the same, Based on the OP, I'd wager Pirate's going to end his deal, one way or the other, on August 14th. If the meetup is on the 13th (sorry, I can't remember), then that would indicate that Pirate wants out of his bet before then. The only reason I can think of is that he predicts that he will run out of money around that time.

Or, he could just be being nice, and offering a way for Van to save face.