Quote from: west420 on March 18, 2015, 03:26:03 AM

Quote from: philipma1957 on March 15, 2015, 03:18:43 AM

Quote from: west420 on March 15, 2015, 02:47:12 AM

Since a final list has not yet been made, I would consider guessing a difficulty decline of -2.51 to -2.75%

The whole DDOS issue is likely going to cause miners to effectively go offline that based on economics should not be offline

this may turn out to be the best pick yet

real time google is -0.98%

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=204080645

I think you might be right. The spreadsheet is now showing the estimated difficulty to be -1.92%, although the 3 day moving average is lower at -3.71%

If this drop is being caused by the DDOS attacks, then I am surprised that it is lasting this long, although it could be that pools that were being used by a large corporate farm(s) were affected, and all their miners were effectively kicked offline and for whatever reason were never brought back online.

I would say that if I do not end up winning then the contest will likely roll over because the difficulty will probably decline by more then what I predicted.

I think you may win. It may dip to -3.? then come back. My guess is a big farm sold off gear to a 2 or 3 cent power prlce farm

and it will come back on line soon.