Quote from: hroub on June 09, 2015, 11:28:35 PM

Quote from: LsHallo on June 09, 2015, 08:25:35 PM

Quote from: hroub on June 09, 2015, 08:15:26 PM

Quote from: hantmec on June 09, 2015, 07:15:16 PM

Quote from: hroub on June 09, 2015, 07:02:04 PM

Also as i were you i would turn auto invest on if i got my roi. Not one day before. Too much risk...

I think I disagree. It would be better to have auto-invest on until the break even point. This way u could reach break even faster than the expected 86 days or invest much less in order to reach a certain goal within the 86 days Wink

Quote from: LsHallo on June 09, 2015, 08:25:35 PM

Quote from: hroub on June 09, 2015, 08:15:26 PM

Quote from: hantmec on June 09, 2015, 07:15:16 PM

Quote from: hroub on June 09, 2015, 07:02:04 PM

They had an power issue. After the issue the reward per khs dropped from 17.7 to 5.8 satoshi per day. Now it's back stable at 12.95 satoshi per khs per day. I would say the reward will not drop. And if it does you still can sell the khs you gained with autoinvest and withdraw that amount in addition to your 10min rewards. Also as i were you i would turn auto invest on if i got my roi. Not one day before. Too much risk...

My calculations currently yielded 12.85 average satoshi per KHS for my recent 300 minute interval... I've been preparing an excel with calculations in a 30 payment interval (300 minutes). My interval started more than 10 minutes before my most recent KHS auto increment and more than 10 minutes after the second most recent KHS auto-increment, in order to factor out the re-investment (as if I had auto invest off). These were my 30 payments not affected by auto-invest for my 468 KHS:

revenue/468KHS/10mins
0.00000042075138584934
0.00000042074868699279
0.00000042074872904345
0.00000042074828634674
0.00000037867385916729
0.00000042074871562773
0.00000042075139498238
0.00000042075139749561
0.00000042075385724815
0.00000042075404792488
0.00000042075138724822
0.00000042075140016707
0.00000042075138276795
0.00000042075368151698
0.00000042075396991020
0.00000042075126527177
0.00000037867857501019
0.00000042075404620521
0.00000042075375217419
0.00000042075393954483
0.00000042075405194585
0.00000042075137748805
0.00000042074873359145
0.00000042074606277229
0.00000042074873762614
0.00000042074873468968
0.00000042074607168006
0.00000042074606993548
0.00000042074606336479
0.00000042074606361884

I split the 300 min interval and calculated the average of the first 15 payments and the average of the the next 15 payments. for my 468 KHS the first 15 payments average was 0.00000041794614548592 BTC and the average of the next 15 payments was 0.00000041794490299459

The payments per 10 mins had dropped from the first 15 average by
(0.00000041794614548592 - 0.00000041794490299459) = 0.00000000000124249133

That is a percentage revenue drop for every 150 minutes per KHS
(0.00000041794614548592 - 0.00000041794490299459) / 0.00000041794614548592)
= 0.00000297285031599815 = 0.000297285031599815 %

There are 24 * 60 / 150 = 9.6 intervals of 150 minutes in 24 hours

Therefore, using the compound interest formula the expected compound revenue decrease rate per KHS is

(1 + 0.00000297285031599815)^9.6 - 1 = 0.0000285397278616539 = 0.00285397278616539 %

and the expected monthly revenue decrease based on this 300 minute interval, would be

(1 + 0.00000297285031599815)^(9.6*30.5) - 1 = 0.000870828229561749 = 0.0870828229561749 %

and the expected annual revenue decrease rate would be:

(1 + 0.00000297285031599815)^(9.6*365) - 1 = 0.0104712963079583 = 1.047129630795830000 %

So ur wrong, it does decrease over time Tongue

(which it should) due to the expected decrease of efficiency of the ASIC miners due to the rising difficulty of mining, although quite a little.

Therefore id someone is making 10 USD, EUR, BTC every 10 minutes right now from the invested KHS (without auto-invest), after one year, he should expect to make
(1 - 0.0104712963079583) * 10 = 9.89528703692042 USD, EUR, or BTC accordingly.

Ffffweehhh... Cry

that took some time and brain hashing power, but now I feel better and more confident that my revenues wont disappear very quickly... Of course this is based on the specific 30 payments throughout the specific 300 minutes... but it will have to do... Wink

P.S. I hope my post is not against the rules. If I'm wrong, or if I have any mathematical mistakes (I'm not perfect) please let me know and I will edit it ASAP. Cool

Take a look at sccstats.com or msgrelay.com. The reward is stable since some days at 12.94xxxx only the last digits are changing over time. Thats a normal progress based on altcoin prices and mining luck of the past 10mins.