Quote from: sgbett on August 26, 2015, 04:11:26 PM

Quote from: kano on August 25, 2015, 02:31:52 PM

Not sure if you are being disingenuous or you really don't understand. I'll give you the benefit of the doubt and assume your stupid.
A few things:
1) blocks can be anywhere from a second to well over an hour, so no, your stats are only theoretical expectations.
2) XT being 75% doesn't mean it can't lose - there's a reason why core uses higher than 75% ...
3) 'XT' have stated they will use block markers to force people to stay on XT and not switch to Core, if however, Core is above 50% and gets ahead of XT, everyone on XT will be royally screwed

4) It only takes one 'XT only' block to be mined to keep everyone using XT off Core

but more importantly, XT wont happen.

Yes my stats are based on averages. The stats are theoretical probabilities, you can throw variance in there as a red herring but it doesn't alter the fact that after an hour there is virtually no chance of core having a longer chain. I think you do understand this, and so you *are* being disingenuous.

Try using some of that stats to show it correctly.
It's not the 'expected' value that's the issue ... it's the probabilities of the unexpected happening.
There was another post somewhere where someone seems to have completely lost the plot trying to do that.
I'll ask ooc if he would be nice enough to provide some valid statistics on the subject

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I get you don't want bigger blocks, but its clouding your ability to see the truth.

Then you are a moron.
I have not said that I don't want bigger blocks.
I'm one of the people behind the addition of /BIP100/ in the block header since jgarzik didn't mention anything regarding that.

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How exactly do you *know* XT won't happen? I certainly don't know if it will or it won't.

Well it's already well above 25% (roughly ~~50%~~40% now looking at the pools showing it) saying they want BIP100, not XT/BIP101 ... so it would be rather difficult to get another 75% on top of that Tongue

Though I guess your and XT's statistics can find a way to add ~~50%~~40% + 75% and get something valid

https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC
... and if you are quick you'll see my pool there at the top showing BIP100 support

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You talk of centralised control as if core isn't already? This fork is exactly the essence of decentralised. Why are you so afraid of it?

I fear nothing.

Go read BIP100, that is what is called decentralisation.

I've not argued about giving them the right to deceive - decentralisation certainly allows that.
They have that right and seem to be quite successful at deceiving people - case in point.
I'm simply saying that their changes promote centralisation.

Edit: it's close to 40%, not 50%