Quote from: Phildo on September 29, 2015, 02:40:06 PM

Quote from: leex1528 on September 29, 2015, 02:35:56 PM

Quote from: Phildo on September 29, 2015, 12:53:19 PM

Quote from: bfisher1968 on September 29, 2015, 12:45:33 PM

If you would run a simulation of bets/rolls (same server seed and client seed) the outcome over many bets should roughly show equal distribution of numbers. It might happen in 1000 bets, 10000 bets, or 100000 bets, but it will happen. But knowing this will happen allows you to change the way you bet in your advantage.

Now if you say there is not equal distribution of numbers, that's even better. You can determine where most of the roll/bets hit and play that to your advantage.

Either way, not looking to the past results to determine the way you play dice is why most call it a luck game.

This is 1000 percent wrong.

Lets just look at flipping a coin to make things simple. The equal distribution happens from having the correct probability happen over and over and over again over a large sample.

If you flip 10 heads in a row, the odds of the next one being heads is still 50/50. If you keep flipping a coin, eventually your results will get to 50/50, not because tails is more likely on future events, but just because you keep doing it.

If you get 10 heads out of 10 flips you got heads 100% of the time.

If the next 10 are 50/50, you have 15 out of 20, 75% heads

If the next 10 are 50/50, you have 20 out of 30, 66 2/3% heads

If the next 10 are 50/50, you have 25 out of 40, 62.5% heads

If the next 10 are 50/50, you have 30 out of 50, 60% heads.

And so on and so on until you get back down to 50.

Stats are a crazy thing. Looking at things in a short run, getting 10 heads in 10 flips is .5^10. Not good odds.

However after 10 flips, the odds of flipping the next coin is still 50/50. In your example after the 10 ones are head, the next 100 rolls are still supposed to be closer to 50 heads 50 tails than anything else.

That's what I was showing. It is unlikely to get 10 heads in a row. But if you do, the next one is still 50/50, AND you will get to 50/50 over the long term without changing the odds.

Yeah I was mostly agreeing with you, but sort of. I was saying the dice don't know that they rolled 10 heads in a row, so even after the 10 rolls it won't start to go more toward 50/50, from that point on it would be closer to 50/50, but after I suppose 100000 rolls if you had 10 more heads than tails it still would be close to 50/50.