Quote from: wutizurkwest on November 09, 2015, 10:52:37 PM

Quote from: Andre# on November 09, 2015, 10:15:20 PM

Quote from: ssmc2 on November 09, 2015, 09:04:50 PM

Quote from: Andre# on November 09, 2015, 08:59:44 PM

Quote from: Torque on November 09, 2015, 06:33:17 PM

The BTC market is unpredictable in the short term, but longer term the obvious patterns form. If you are a long term bull, then trade on the long term patterns. Buy/accumulate when the market is bottomed and no one cares, sell near top of rallies. Then be patient to get back in, because a rally bubble can take a while to unwind. A LONG while. There may even be several mini bull runs/short squeezes along the way, but ultimately the price ends up bottoming out way lower and all volume/volatility dies.

How about this as a strategy for a lazy trader (like me)? It's the cross-overs of K and J of the KDJ indicator.

Hasn't crossed over quite yet Wink

It did on Bitfinex. Anyway, if it does happen to bounce off, I'll just have to take the loss. Even if it goes wrong once every two years, it's still pretty good.

Have you backtested it against historical data? Performing well down is one thing, sideways is another, that tends to kill MA crossover strategies. Goomboo's Journal thread has some relevant advice. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=60501.0

Edit: If you start looking for optimal signals, you might want to try this heatmap approach: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=60501.msg736808#msg736808

Thanks for the links. The graph covers the past two years. Indeed, when it goes sideways the cross-overs creep to the middle and it works less well. And it works best on the weekly chart.