Quote from: fredhead on January 29, 2016, 05:43:17 AM

...but when a clear prediction is made (even if it is for free on the blog)...

How many times has he stated TIME and PRICE are orthogonal. He has never given a clear short-term trading prediction in the blog. He has always stated that the long-term is much easier to predict than the short-term.

Trading is noisy. It is also dependent on each trader's diversification (trading is never absolute to one trade!). He does offer a platform to enter your entire personalized portfolio that he claims will improve your personalized odds, but it is not free and it is not applicable to everyone in a broadcast format of a blog since everyone is not a personalized analysis. I have no idea how it performs and neither does anyone writing here.

Also remember MA's analysis is relative to international value, not the nominal domestic value, e.g. real estate prices in dollars are not his real estate model. He had a post on that recently that showed real estate would bounce from 2007 to 2012 before resuming the decline, but again that is international valuation not domestic.

Please before you slander someone, at least understand what he has written.