Quote from: TPTB_need_war on February 01, 2016, 01:21:46 AM

Notice how the trolls use newbie sock puppet accounts. And they entirely ignore what I wrote (did sloanf respond to the real estate post, did he read AnonyMint's archives, did he stop citing blog posts out-of-context, etc).

I responded to both (hello!), try to read it even if youre not quite able to:

Quote from: sloanf on January 31, 2016, 05:41:49 PM

Again, all you do is just making claims with nothing to back them up. Bring everything relevant here (not just random texts, opinions and your claims supported by nothing but your or MAs claims) because this thread is for exactly that purpose and thats what we are discussing here. And be specific.

and here

Quote from: sloanf on January 31, 2016, 05:41:49 PM

How many times do we have to go through this? As with everything else, as we have seen above, you are not able to get things from the first/second/third time. Ok, lets do it again.

That real estate picture that MA claims to have drawn in 1979 uses the Case-Shiller home price index. Back then there was nothing like internationally inflation adjusted value and nowhere was it mentioned by MA or anybody. He started to exploit this trick relatively recently when it became obvious that he failed yet another of his numerous predictions so he had to cover his ass by making it up. Interestingly, he uses that IIM trick on real estate because, as he argues, real estate attracts global money but at the same time he does not use IIM when he makes predictions on the Dow, Gold, Nikkei and so on (which also attract global capital).

Now, if you compare the index and the picture, youll easily find out that they do not match (put it mildly). First, the index had been rising without any drop up until 2006 (the MAs graph predicted drops after every 8.6 years). Second, the absolute high according to MA should have been reached in 2007.15, but in reality the S&P Case-Shiller topped in 2006 https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CSUSHPINSA, http://www.spindices.com/index-family/real-estate/sp-case-shiller, and the original Case-Shiller topped in 2005 http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm
Third, the index significantly recovered and keeps rising, contrary to what MA predicted.

Here is another dirty trick that MA used. When real estate picked he did not say anything. Only after the crisis hit and real estate plunged he came out and claimed that hed predicted the top. Not only that, he claimed that he predicted the top to the day referencing to (wait!) the S&P Reit index. Again, there was nothing about internationally inflation adjusted value or any of such bs. But wait, theres more. The S&P Reit includes not only home RE, but everything else such as residential, office, health-care, hotels, etc. In other words, from very beginning he used the Case-Shiller (only home RE). Then when it didnt work out, he switched to the S&P Reit which tracks all RE, and now he switches again by bs people with a new trick called internationally inflation adjusted value.

I am curious to see what else is he going to come up with when his post-2015 forecast eventually fails.

Quote from: TPTB_need_war on February 01, 2016, 01:21:46 AM

They will destroy the thread and there is nothing I can do to stop them. Apparently someone (Goldman Sachs?) has paid them to slander MA and attempt to control perceptions.

Unlike you who just keep babbling the same bs after MA like a brainless parrot with no factual support whatsoever, I do fact-checking and share results with everybody here. In other words, my participation here brings value, and therefore I am useful and relevant. Whereas you are totally useless, since you bring nothing but bs which is even worse than being simply stupid, do not forget that.

Quote from: TPTB_need_war on February 01, 2016, 01:21:46 AM

sloanf states that I am stupid everyone here knows I am not stupid, so I hope he realizes he just shot his credibility in the foot.

Not only do I just state that youre stupid, I prove it over and over again and its very easy because there is so much of subject matter every time you open your mouth.

Quote from: TPTB_need_war on February 01, 2016, 01:31:55 AM

You did not comprehend what he wrote there:

Quote

The USA is amazingly going to produce more oil that Saudi Arabia and Russia making it the largest producer in the world according to all the data so far with just Four years into the shale revolution.

[...]

Nevertheless, oil peaked intraday in 2009 but the highest yearly close came in 2011. It is poised to rally into 2017 and it appears this is lining up with our war models. We will be looking at this market and other in the near future. The patterns are interesting and the fundamentals may speak of increased supply in the USA, but the price may be driven by other events especially when we have people like Lindsey Graham willing to kill everyones children for his personal hatred of the US constitution and the world

What he was saying is that as the war model enters the hot war phase in 2017, oil may rally off the lows. And indeed this may still happen. His model has always been about private assets, USD, US stocks, and gold rallying in 2017 as the rest of the world sinks into an economic collapse cauldron and the Cycle of War. This was an orthogonal shorter-term cycle than the longer-term cycle which is that oil peaked in 2009 and would be on an overall downward trend towards $35 (then $25). Read more carefully. He didn't write that oil will rally "from now" into 2017. He stated only "to rally into 2017" meaning it is an event that his computer indicated would happen in 2017. That is a shorter-term cycle superimposed on the longer-term cycle which he stated was a peak in 2009.

Nobody needs you to interpret anything since you proved that youre not able to read let alone comprehend. Nowhere does it say off the lows, $35, $25 and other bs that you made up. It clearly says that "oil is poised to rally into 2017". And also in that post there is no any indication of the collapse which then had already begun.

Quote from: TPTB_need_war on February 01, 2016, 01:31:55 AM

Go find the blog post where oil was still $100+ and he predicted the $54 close for 2014.

You make empty claims and you are telling me to find proof in support of your claims? It is your job to find them, not mine. So go and bring them here. It will be very interesting to look at them especially knowing full well that they dont exist.

On your way there, also bring names of insurance companies and lawyers that as you claim vetted whatever along with everything else whatever you call facts.