What? I was not aware the scaling problem was so high!
Yes. It is. The clear trend is that transactions per unit time are increasing. At some point in the very near future, bitcoin will hit a ceiling that it has not before hit - the situation where blocks are persistently full.
Why are most people saying that everything is fine and that scaling will come then?
I think BJA would argue against "everything fine". I'm in the camp of "things are gonna soon suck, and will continue to suck, until the pain rises to the point where most admit things need doing".
We are nowhere close to "everything will suck soon"
tm. You guys have been saying that for a year now btw.
If we do nothing for a year (we will though) it would simply mean that fees might increase about a cent or two. Actually fees used to be higher in the past.
Segwit is quickest and easiest short term TPS increase anyhow.