Quote from: TPTB_need_war on February 08, 2016, 10:53:04 AM

Quote from: tabnloz on February 08, 2016, 07:19:10 AM

Fine, no argument from me there, that gold has not hit 3,000 and US debt is still good. I have no issue with the call not being 100% spot on, as I have said before - every economist I follow gets somethings wrong. They then adjust as the landscape changes.

MA did not get anything wrong. Both of you are taking those words out-of-context. I am not going to explain it again, I already did upthread. None of you are comprehending at all MA's scenarios and models. That is not his fault. You all needed me to interpret it for you all from the very start. MA's IQ and models are beyond the comprehension of weekend warriors who try to dip in once in a while. Spend some years studying then maybe you will understand. As I said, I didn't understand MA at all when I first started reading him when he was writing from prison. It took some years for it to gel. And I have tried to explain upthread recently, but apparently guys can't comprehend what I am saying about MA presents all the scenarios and then says which price points have to be hit to elect each scenario. These are "what if" statements, and of the scenario choices some have much lower probability. From my upthread refutation of sloanf, MA's preferred scenario (predicted in March 2011) was for gold to rise above $1,500, go into a PHASE TRANSITION immediately (which it did to $1,900) and then collapse into a low by 2015.75 which it did at $1050.

He also stated other possible scenarios and what had to transpire to make it happen. These lower probability scenarios were not elected by the market, as he expected.

tabnloz if you feed that troll again and allow me to see what you have quoted from him, then you will go on my shit list and I will ignore you. I am sick and tired of the trolling. Unfair or not, take it or leave it.

Again sloanf will hide under a rock later this year as Armstrong's predictions play out yet again as they always do. Sloanf doesn't have a clue about how international capital flows work and why. He doesn't understand CONFIDENCE and how it breaks in a waterfall collapse. Etc.

So basically MA does scenario analysis, like everyone else in the finance industry.