Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
i was so wasted that nightYou are always wasted Adams
not always, only after 8:00... expect saturdays and sunday, sometimes friday i'll start early, really bad monday might have a few dozen drinks come 2:00.
hahahaha i'm kidding....
You are not kidding, you are a liar
I insist, you are always wasted
especially when we are on a rally Adams, could we have this poll please.
Bitcoin price at September would be ?
Bitcoin price at September would be ?
September is a long time away my old friend, let's predict more short term, maybe end of June - 500 USD?
My dear brother, I know it's a long time, but I asked for september exactly because it will be post-halving and most probably we will have fireworks
Sounds like a good thread topic.
It's a poll not a thread topic my bullish friend
I understand that, and I would like to see a poll on that too; however, since the actual event is so long into the future, it seems that it would clog up the polling system (unless there can be two polls at a time?)... I mean the basic logic that a September poll would not close until September.
Adams, could we have this poll please.
Bitcoin price at September would be ?
Bitcoin price at September would be ?
September is a long time away my old friend, let's predict more short term, maybe end of June - 500 USD?
My dear brother, I know it's a long time, but I asked for september exactly because it will be post-halving and most probably we will have fireworks
Oh ok I see. Well yes I'd like to see a few fireworks in September then
I'm 95% sure about this
Regarding your 95% prediction... gosh.. that is a pretty decent topic too, and I enjoy those kinds of topics..... yet, I am hardly that certain about anything in life, including what I am going to eat for dinner a few hours later, even if I have made preparations.
So, yep.. it is interesting both in terms of how high the price will be, and what is the likelihood that it will get to that predicted price. At least the time frame would be set, but there are two more variables.
In the past, I have played around with these kinds of predictions in the past to attempt to assign my ideas of probabilities to various outcomes, and it tends to be a good exercise to also attempt to align your own investment level with your view of various possible outcomes.
Accordingly, I would venture to assert my view that there is a 95% chance the price will be higher than $350, but maybe I would be too scared to assert greater than a 70% chance that the price would be higher than $450... I still consider myself bullish though...
You are bullish bro, but you calculate it a lot.
As r0ach said, (It will not play out like last time. The timelines between cause and effect will likely be shorter, and there is more expectation of profits, so it's likely to pump harder beforehand.)
Halving is NOT priced in, fireworks is a MUST.
Adams, could we have this poll please.
Bitcoin price at September would be ?
Bitcoin price at September would be ?
September is a long time away my old friend, let's predict more short term, maybe end of June - 500 USD?
My dear brother, I know it's a long time, but I asked for september exactly because it will be post-halving and most probably we will have fireworks
Oh ok I see. Well yes I'd like to see a few fireworks in September then
I'm 95% sure about this
I checked the charts for the last halving, it went up a bit then flatlined for a month or two afterwards. A few months later was when it started going up in price, then mooning. If history repeats itself then September sounds good for fireworks.
I agree, we just need time and momentum, momentum is here, we just need time.
I dont consider the halfing bullish or bearish
It certainly can't be priced in beforehand because its very much unknown how it will effect the network
On one hand we have half the supply, on the other hand chaos may ensue if miners become drastically unprofitable and hash rate drops accordingly.
so my thinking for halving halfing? is that we will price it in after the fact, if it goes well UP, if SHTF down.
personally i think everything will be just fine, we MIGHT have a small temporary drop in hashrate but Shit will not Hit The Fan. not really willing to place a serious amount of money either way tho.
It certainly can't be priced in beforehand because its very much unknown how it will effect the network
On one hand we have half the supply, on the other hand chaos may ensue if miners become drastically unprofitable and hash rate drops accordingly.
so my thinking for halving halfing? is that we will price it in after the fact, if it goes well UP, if SHTF down.
personally i think everything will be just fine, we MIGHT have a small temporary drop in hashrate but Shit will not Hit The Fan. not really willing to place a serious amount of money either way tho.
What do you think about this brother ?
