Take the bet
We don't engage with scammers in any form of businesses, not even in betting. We ridicule the scammers, call them piece of shit scammers, but don't do business with the IOTA scammers. That's all they got: try to discredit the critics by coming up with all kind of absurd and nonsense bets and then they will cry for weeks by going to all possible threads of this forum "boohhhoooo, he didn't take the bet". In fact, these two clowns come up with a bet every 24 hours. Tell him, you dick is small. He will set up a bet to settle the matter. Tell him your asshole is not tight enough for the horny prison population. I guarantee, the clowns will offer a bet. However, you don't legitimate the existence of a scammer who transformed cryptocurrency into this gambling swamp by accepting any business offer from them.
What metric would you use to measure 'success'
Good questions, but there is nothing new with regards to this. The measure of success cannot be what normally is a success in the gambling swamp. I have no doubt they will deliver 20-50x ROI for the greedy shills who promote their scam so hard, but how can be a success to create many bagholders and losers? All P&D coins - like IOTA will be - inevitably results in an army of bagholders who lose money. That is not a success, even if the creators of the scam and their shills make money.
I stand by my statement: IOTA will be never used by any TOP100 bluechip IoT business for IoT micropayments, which is the primary use case of IOTA. Nobody from the industry that matters will touch the decentralized micropayments offering (note, meaningless Hong Kong based lonely professionals, their partners are irrelevant in IoT). At the same time that is the primary use cases of IOTA. I was right about their Microsoft Azure hype (I said the sign-up based relation with MSFT means nothing) and I am correct about the IoT use case as well.