Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Bitcoin price cycles
by
hacknoid
on 14/06/2016, 15:37:34 UTC
OK, sorry for the delay.... here's the latest update on the graphs, for phase 2:



Up to this point, the trend has continued exactly as it did in the previous 2 cycles during this phase; a relatively flat period to start, followup by a sudden jump (indicated by the arrows), a small plateau, then the real takeoff.If (and that's a big if) the trend continues from here in the same way, then we should be heading much higher.  Note that I adjusted the vertical scale on the cycle 3 graph to better reflect both the relative height of increase as well as the resistance we faced at $600.

Here is the zoomed out view of the whole cycles (still on linear scale):


However, and i will say it again, these graphs are only showing what is currently happening as compared to previous times.  I absolutely cannot say that the price trend will go to new highs as in the past, only that the pattern looks the same.  I just don't want anyone to think I am trying to convince them to buy.  I still personally think there is room to go up, but who knows.

On the negative side, I worry that after a few days of rise, we have to wait 900 days to see a new high.

It may not be that bad.. it looks to be taking 900 days for the whole sentiment-cycle to repeat, but we also had some nice new highs previously in phase 1 (which is only about 500 days away Smiley )


BTW, my back is getting better - thanks for the wishes.  The fact that this past weekend all my previous bitcoin purchases are now positive relative to the purchase price, certainly helps things feel better.