Quote from: d57heinz on October 21, 2016, 03:14:26 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on October 21, 2016, 02:24:38 PM

Quote from: kspare on October 21, 2016, 12:46:10 PM

not necessarily, this is a numbers game, the more players you have at the table, the better the odds of finding a block. If what you were saying were true it would make just as much sense to just mine solo vs mining here.

Not really.

30ph should earn 29.18 btc a day or 2.3344 blocks a day.

My 24th should earn .02335 btc a day or 0.001868 blocks a day that means if I solo mine it takes about 535 days to hit a block.

Big pools of 10% have less variance.

Little pools of 1% have more variance.

If all my wishes came true kano would be 8% of the network and have 107% lifetime luck.

We are now at 1.7% of the network with 103.75% lifetime luck.

Here's how I see it. yea you could solo mine by yourself with 24ths. And prolly you won't hit a block for the whole period. Hell with bad luck it could take twenty years to find one solo. 10x diff is about as high as I've personally witnessed variance to reach. Now here is where luck and statistics play in. If we take that same 24 ths which is prolly two workers being s9s. If I point those to solock and it has only 1200 workers then my worker has a 1/600 chance of being the worker that is served the proper work for returning back the block that ck finds. Yes ck doesn't find as many blocks but being as I have 5 workers out of 1200 or so workers then I have roughly a 1/300 chance of being the one that pops the block for the pool. And I have those odds each and every block ck solo finds. Then when you factor in that you get full reward! I for one am glad I went solo I popped two blocks with 34 the in less than two months at current diff. So it's possible and once you do it makes it hard to go back to a pool.

Best Regards
d57heinz

I think there was a 1200% block which would mean 12 x 535 = 6420 days for a solo if diff was flat would be worst case luck.

that is 17 years vs normal luck of 1.7 years or 10 miuntes with god like luck.

I hit my fair share of solo blocks.

3 at ck's pool but I had partners and netted 21 of the 75 ~~blocks.~~ coins