Quote from: vella85 on November 23, 2016, 05:26:03 AM

Quote from: DarkDays on November 23, 2016, 04:48:24 AM

Quote from: vella85 on November 23, 2016, 04:20:26 AM

I still think the Colts win as they have one of the best records in the NFL playing on Thanksgiving while the Steelers have a poor record which I think they are 1-6

Not to derail, but this is horrific logic. Trends like that are irrelevant because they have no bearing on the game at hand. It's like saying a team has a good record on the 14th of the month or when the temperature is exactly 70.5 degrees...the sample size is so tiny it's irrelevant and those games didn't involve any of the players that are playing in the game you're betting on.

I understand all this but also remember that it's not always about the QB, special teams could play a big roll in a win if it is a defensive game.Anything can happen and I'm willing to take the risk as it's not for certain that Luck isn't playing yet and if I can get these good odds and Luck happens to play, well I'll be very happy but if not I'm still okay with my bet. I have had a good run so far on the NFL picking many underdogs when people thought I was crazy. I picked the Colts to beat the Packers where no one gave any chance to the Colts also another one was the Lions beating the Eagles and a few others. Also teams can perform well on big days such as Thanksgiving even though a star player is missing. Anyway let's not go on any more as I'm happy with my bets.

Yeah I think it's well deserved shot for the Colts at these odds, they've been on the rise lately and the Steelers have had big ups and downs all season long, it's not a game I will put my money on without any special presentiment but if I do it will be on the underdogs.