Quote from: rwubbels on December 08, 2016, 09:31:08 PM

Quote from: clgrissom3 on December 08, 2016, 09:23:54 PM

Quote from: not.you on December 08, 2016, 09:10:27 PM

So do I have this right that we are something like 12 blocks below expected in something like 10 days? I know 10 days is a small window but this is starting to look to me like we need to take a look at the maths on the likelihood of it.

I think it's 15.92 blocks expected and 12 blocks hit...3.92 blocks behind... Grin

And I got my first A7 online! Cheesy

Actually, you are forgetting last month... the last 10 days we hit 13 blocks... we need around 2,5 block per day... so that's 25-13 is yeah... 12 blocks below expected...
Although time is not the best measure, best is to add all the diffs...

So yeah, we need around 3,5 bocks per day to get in the greens.
I don't see this year coming out of the red without one of those green streaks that seem to have been there in the past.

Okay, I'm having a hard time keeping up. We started out talking about this month, you add in last month at first and then finished with the whole year. If we look at data on hand, we have 1047 blocks with 1033.28 expected since the beginning of March. That is 13.72 blocks over expected for 101% Luck. Since the beginning of the year we are around 102.5% PPS so it's a pretty good chance that we will finish the year with a positive return. Not that that will influence the future at all but for now it works.

Now if you started in the middle of the year somewhere, your results will be lower of course...