Post
Topic
Board Gambling
Re: bustabit.com -- The Social Gambling Game
by
statdude
on 07/03/2017, 19:37:01 UTC

I like to think I have a very open mind, and a bad intuition about these sort of things. So I'm more than happy to revert back to the original scheme/bonuses if that's what's best for my players

Good to hear. I appreciate the counter arguments but am not convinced yet. You will lose many of those players who perhaps "think" they are EV, but actually aren't. That is the real crux of the argument now that I think about it, although I do think there are some synergies from having a single game, including the marketing that comes from advertising an element of skill (game is known to winnable) + network effect.

That's why casinos allow profitable rules blackjack even in 2017 - a +EV for players game (when cards counted properly). 70% of the players suck (including a lot of whales, yes), 25% think they are +ev but arent (you'll lose these ones - these are the types that play well 80% of the time and then tilt and go to shit, and probably make up most of your mid range players) and they kick out the other 5%. But, EVERYONE shares the illusion the game is "beatable", even the donks. I'm convinced this is the main reason it is the most popular game in casinos. I can't tell you how many people I've met who have "21" or some other movie about the "5%" winning, but then just end up playing with superstitions or their own bad habits / and "winning" strategies (Martinigale), and are just too ignorant or careless to realize they are in the other 70% or 95%.

Walk into any US casino and you will see that 80%+ of the tables are blackjack or poker, the rest are the "degen" -EV games. yet where do the casinos make the money?

Thanks for listening to an extremely experienced gambler (for better or worse  Grin)