Quote from: kurious on April 04, 2017, 06:51:57 AM

Quote from: aminorex on April 03, 2017, 11:36:47 PM

BTC mempool size has crashed since February. Smoothed xns/day is trending down. It seems clear that the tight hold on BTC is increasing. Come the fork, you may have a hard time finding anyone willing to spend BTC for a couple of weeks at least.

I am increasingly convinced that this will spike XMR. How else can you buy fentanyl on alphabay? Opiates are the quintessence of an inelastic demand driver - just ask Stringer Bell. Methinks I should go all-in again.

You are convinced the fork is inevitable? I think even the possibility is destabilising - but with BTC at this price, it seems to not be priced in, indicating IMO that it is not thought to be definite by the market.

I am not saying you're wrong, but I wonder how you feel it's a done deal it will happen.

Fork wont happen. BU needs 75%, which it will never get. On the other hand Segwit wont get 95% too. So UASF will happen. I dont know its good or Bad, But its good BU will lose. BU is just some Big Pools wanting to earn More Fees with Blocksize Increase. Their Main concern is earning fees, not the Blocksize problem.