Quote from: stompix on May 02, 2017, 01:29:33 PM

Quote from: squatz1 on May 01, 2017, 12:06:20 AM

Quote from: Sithara007 on April 26, 2017, 05:17:30 AM

Quote from: Peter789 on April 26, 2017, 04:45:41 AM

Remember the US elections?

Remember, our socialist media, constantly confirming polls that showed Hillary ahead?

The silent majority are waking.

Right now, Le Pen is 28 points behind Macron as per the latest opinion polls. Even if there is a significant reverse Bradley effect (as the case with the rust belt states such as Wisconsin in the 2016 POTUS election), it will be impossible for her to overcome this margin.

We all said the same thing about Trump when placed like the Huffington post were coming out with reports that gave Trump a 1.8 percent chance of winning the Presidencey, though I do see the difference here as it is opinion polling. Trump was also down in all the polls and I simply think this was because some people were just afraid to say they were supporting Trump until they went to the voting booths and showed their support in the ballot box.

I don't know what's going to happen, but I do think that if she does lose which she has a good chance of losing I think it's going to be much closer then we expected to happen. Or at least, what the media expected to happen.

There is a huge difference between election in France and in the United States.

First, based on the french system Trump would have lost.

Secondary , the difference in polls was not even closer to what is right now in France.
Trump needed a few thousands votes in some key states and that's all.
The best example is Michigan won by 11 000 votes, 47,5 to 47, 2.
Le Pen needs a few millions that have to come out of somewhere but from where nobody knows

In the US you win a few states by 10 votes and you lose some other by millions and you can still win.
That is not how things work in France.

Quote from: Sithara007 on April 29, 2017, 05:52:40 AM

Quote from: youdamushi on April 28, 2017, 06:42:06 AM

Yeah because it is actually so strange to see someone going out and marrying someone 20 years older than himself...

He is 39 and she is 64. The difference is much more than 20 years. And he fell in love with her, when he was 15 and she was 40. Such a guy is unfit to be the president of any nation, much less France.

But is perfectly ok in the Trump family , right?

You guys are having a very interesting and good discussion so I dont want to intervene but aren't the calculations of you telling Le Pen needs millions based on poll's? And isn't the other guy saying that poll-results aren't reliable just like they weren't in The States? The polls in Turkey said that the NO-side wouldve won too btw.