With segwit activation on august 1st, I think a split is almost certainly going to happen.
I remember the first time I heard about a possible hard fork a few years ago, it freaked me out and I dumped all my coins.
I imagine there are a lot of people who have recently invested who are now at the same level of education I was at back then and they will be dumping out their coins.
So the price will probably drop quite a lot over the next 8 weeks, but the question is when and how much? I'm deciding between holding my coins, or selling them now and waiting for the dump then buying back even more.
It is difficult to talk about what is going to happen, however, it seems the situation is getting worse, the value of bitcoin can drop dramatically, I am worried about it.