I remember some years ago when slush pool had a several month long streak with really bad luck, but as i remember it they found out it was some bug cousing it
.
This is maybe just bad luck but how big is the chance of getting 2 devilblocks so close to each other ? Or should I see it as every new block is a new block and what happened before doesnt matter at all ?
The first block was 1 in 2000
The second block is About 1 in 2000
But they were not back to back which would be a 1 in 4,000,000 chance.
My math skills to determine. The chance of two .9996 cdf blocks out of four are not up to the task.
The fact that we had 2 good blocks between 2 devilblocks must change the "1 in 4000000" chance, but that´s above my pay-grade.
Yeah the problem is that you can't actually use the result of that calculation.
Statistics requires impartiality.
Selecting a range of data, specifically based on the results: the first and last being the worst possible values, invalidates the statistical analysis.
As you will see on the web site, there is no CDF[Erl] of data that defines a set of data based on the results of that data, since that isn't valid.
The boundaries are all unrelated to the results -> months, or a specific number of blocks.
Ah ok. Then i understand, more.