Difficulty jumped from 12 million to 15 million just today. The largest jump yet. And this is only with a tiny fraction of Jalepeno's going online... The next difficulty jump is estimated at 21 to 30 million.
Now pre-order customer are going to run their numbers and a lot of decisions are going to be made very soon...
God help BFL. The refund window is about to get mobbed.
This is a pretty ignorant comment.. The jump really has nothing to do with the current ~30 jalapenos in the wild. You also think a 21-30 million difficulty will make that many people question the refund?
I am currently mining on a couple of video cards in my house that equal about 1.3GH/s. I can still make 125$ a month and that is including the 25$ or so that I use in energy.
I'm more of a practical thinker when it comes to ROI. If the difficulty triples buy the time I get my devices (about 40GH/s of equipment) I will still be getting ~830$ a month @ 95 million difficulty. That is pretty much paying for all of my initial investment. (probably 5 week ROI). In the investment world, an ROI of 5 weeks is ridiculous. Even if it takes 3-4 months to hit my ROI, I would be pleased with that. My video cards organically funded my initial investment though so technically anything I make is already gravy.
..don't get me wrong.. I would LOVE to receive my stuff asap so I can get in on this "under 50 million" difficulty. I personally think Butterfly labs WILL ship my stuff. It's not the how, who, and what.. it's the WHEN that determines if I make a couple of grand.. or make 10-20 grand. No matter how much Butterfly labs messes up and shows its mismanagement, I still think they have every intention of fulfilling their orders and staying in the business for the long haul. That's about all I can say right now though.