Quote from: minergain.com on November 01, 2017, 02:34:14 PM

Quote from: kspare on November 01, 2017, 01:38:04 PM

even with getting paid out on transactions, when we are getting this far behind even 100% variance, and the price getting as high as it is, this leaves alot of money on the table. If other mines are hitting 100% vs where we are at this month, thats alot of money left on the table.

I ran some approximate BTC per Day per TH numbers. I will be gathering more accurate details over the coming months since I will be storing 15 minute hash rates for pools we monitor.

For KanoPool.
August was .000276 with 48 blocks (81Ph)
Sept was .000264 with 47 blocks (84Ph)
Oct was .000158 with 35 blocks (102Ph)

My backup (and what I originally started with) is slush. I have averaged out details for them:
.000225 for August with 241 blocks and a rough average of 350Ph
.000255 for September with 273 blocks and a rough average of 500Ph
.000235 for October with 327 blocks and a rough average of 650Ph

So as you can see, things vary wildly and generally Kano is higher. Obviously we have hit a bit of a downturn here, but I am confident that it will turn the other way after averaging a few months out. Of course there are never guarantees, but my feeling is that anyone who has already ridden out the downturn for October would be missing the turnaround boat by leaving. Kano has had 5 blocks in a day before with similar hash rates, so when the luck turns, we could be exceeding .0005 BTC per day per Th for a fair stretch. It's all a waiting game and miners need to remember to go for the long game.

Thanks for the comparison figures.

There are two things that I think are worth pointing out, that I'm sure you know:

1 - Prior results have no impact on future results. Just because there is a huge "bad luck" spell doesn't mean it's "likely" to change soon.
2 - The "long game" is fair luck wise if difficulty stops increasing.

M