I don't think there's any certainty about the rise in bitcoin prices, because the forecasts are sometimes right and sometimes not.
I myself predict the approximation of bitcoin from the activity around it, for example There is a fork or can be seen from bitcoin volume, If the amount increases, the price is expected to rise, and vice versa.
There really is no way to know when a pump or dump will happen but there are somehow some exceptions like having a good and bad news about bitcoin that will affect it. And currently the price increase could possibly be an affect of an event that will happen soon. Anyway, I too base my forecast by waiting for a settles in a pumping coin and sell it cause for me I know that it will dump in days to come which is sometimes right and sometimes wrong.
totally agreed. it is pretty much paradoxical matter. I think you should now try to predict market, you should just see where market turns. I don't really know how to explain by writing like this, I may prepare some videos about it as there are a lot of questions going on in this topic. so if I summarize, we will never know where market swings, we can only know when it swings. so rather than trying to predict, we should open our eyes and see where we should go.