Quote from: bobsmoke on June 10, 2013, 02:46:48 PM

Quote from: klintay on June 07, 2013, 04:57:28 AM

I hypothesize that difficulty increase will DOUBLE every 40 days from now until the market is flooded with ASICs

If we use this as a calculation for the difficulty rate in September we get:
15,000,000 x 1.20 ^ 4 = 31,104,000 (difficulty on 16/06/2013)
31,104,000 x 1.40 ^ 4 = 119,489,126 (difficulty on 26/07/2013)
119,489,126 x 1.80 ^ 4 = 1,254, 349,053 (difficulty on 1/09/2013)

These calculations presume that:
120 days till September
12 lots of 10
every 10 days difficulty increases
every 40 days that increase doubles

I hope i am wrong but at these levels even a 350Ghz miner in September wont really be a profitable ROI, even if the price of BTC was 350 USD

Hi, Can you correlate this data with the total hashrate needed to reach this insane amount of difficulty in a so short time frame?

1,254, 349,053 (difficulty on 1/09/2013) correlates to 9,000 Thash. From 150 Thash today.
You really think that's possible in 3 months?
That's 136,363 Avalons!
Or 32,142,857 Avalon chips.
Or 1,800,000 BFL Jalapenos.
Or 180,000 BFL 50Gh miners Wink

Or 25,714 KnCMiner's Jupiters (not even shipping by that date).
Or 75,000 Bitfury 120Gh miners (also not shipping by that date).
AsicMiner has some 100Th wafers done, but that needs to be assembled yet and put online.