Surely in this situation, the game should be offering up a carrot on a stick to encourage people to drop coins into red?
There are three reasons why you might still want to play in red in this situation:
- You might expect green or blue to get higher by the time red meets the threshold.
- You might be feeling lucky.
- There is a massive giveaway going on that means that playing in red is still a net positive even if it is originally a net negative. (Hey! That sounds familiar!)
Also, if I increased the bucket threshold to 0.05 BTC, it would be advantageous to place a minimum bet in green, in the analogous situation. Then the expected value of each bucket would change once again. So perhaps when we jump to the next Satoshi Buckets round threshold (which will happen some day, I'm pretty sure) that particular situation cannot occur. (Though similar situations probably still can.)
5% Trans Fee (Est.)
Right now the estimated transaction fee is actually 0.4%, often less.
92% Split proportionally amongst other bucket supporters.
Sorry, this is an error with my description of the game! The reward is proportional to the amount of money you put in! Otherwise there really would be no incentive to bet more than 0.005.
I updated the description on the site.
[EDIT: I edited this post to add more thoughts.]