Quote from: altbrazil on January 05, 2018, 06:27:51 PM

Quote from: sanada.motokage on January 05, 2018, 10:56:30 AM

Because its DPOS, the price will go up soon, although in the short term, it will be affected by mainstream coins, the price will decrease a little bit.

Hello. Please, can you explain your ideas a little more? If possible, mentioning deadlines and values involved? (of course I know they are only estimates but I would like to understand the reasoning better).

Not speaking for sanada.motokage; just giving my own observations:

1) Shift just pumped because of the website release but remains relatively unknown and unpromoted overall (team has deliberately waited for promotion until the product is more developed). Thus, some price fall-off is inevitable regardless.
2) BTC is currently rallying and sucking $$ out of alts. Long term, the rally will slow and alts will rise again, but short term many alts may fall, and especially the less-known ones. This is just how it is, and it will remain that way unless BTC loses its dominance.
3) There is a lot of new money in the crypto space these days, due to the headlines Bitcoin, ETH, and XRP have been receiving. Assuming these people stay in crypto for the long term, it will take some time for them to learn about other investment options, and to develop the confidence to invest in them. Obviously this is related to point 2 above, in that new money flowing into the big-name coins will always temporarily suck potential investors from less-known coins.
4) PoW is inefficient, but many of the best known cryptos are PoW because it was the first algorithm and they have name recognition. However, many in the crypto space feel that 2018 will see the rise of more efficient PoS or DPOS coins. Of course, this is speculation but it's backed by good logic. Anyway, that, plus the fact that Shift will continue to move toward a fully-realized product, are reasons for longer-term optimism.

In terms of time-frame, there is no correct answer. The BTC vs. alts see-saw will likely continue indefinitely, at least until the hypothetical time if/when BTC loses its dominance. Many anticipate a rise of alts over the first half of 2018, though I'm not convinced there's any particular evidence to say that that is exactly the right time-frame. And of course there's always the risk that the crypto bubble will burst because of government action, Tethers collapsing, or some other issue. Such an event would likely not spell the end of crypto, just like it didn't spell the end of the dot coms, but it would certainly slow things down for a while.

Anyway, regarding a time-frame for Shift specifically, and assuming that crypto overall remains healthy, the best guide is the roadmap (https://www.shiftnrg.org/#/roadmap). You can probably expect boosts every time the Shift team accomplishes a goal, and sell-offs when they don't. Overall, you'd expect the price to build over the coming year in anticipation of mass-market release in 2019. Again, though, remember that Shift has set a precedent of not promoting itself until it feels like it has something solid to promote, so the price action may be less dramatic than for more P&D-oriented projects.