Quote from: iANDROID on July 27, 2013, 10:08:39 PM

Quote from: btc_lurker on July 27, 2013, 07:55:11 PM

I'm not sure if I was completely ignored or not.. so retrying it. The bot at https://github.com/knowitnothing/misc/ already works without a browser (specifically the one at https://github.com/knowitnothing/misc/tree/master/justdice/no_browser_bot).

And again mechs, you need to properly define the conditions for investment/divestment.

Yep, because I don't understand why you want to divest when profit is up.

He said that it's not really to boost your profits (Although he does claim it might boost investment profits by 200%) but rather to just "stay out" while the whales are playing. So he just doesn't want to take the risk of his investment going too low.

Code:

19:33:35 (12141) Celeste: Why have you quit? Thought you had a system
19:34:30 (12141) Celeste: nobody is buying your strategies and you know it. Stop the bullshit and gamble
19:35:00 (12141) Celeste: the only strategy you have that worked is you quit while you were ahead
19:35:48 (12141) Celeste: that is fine. but don't talk shit if you won;t back it up.
19:36:36 (12141) celeste: I know you got lucky and live in a gamblers fallacy
19:36:59 (12141) celeste: then like a 2-bit snakeoil salesman try to sell your fallacy on bitcointalk for 111 BTC o suckers
19:37:26 (12141) Deb: Hey debs, I heard you had a little mini-freak out about the dog whisperer;)
19:38:41 (12141) Deb: Really? But he does such wonderful things for those dogs?
19:38:47 (12141) Deb: But I am a big dog lover
19:38:57 (12141) <----loves dogs
19:39:38 (12141) Deb: what you mean? He shows "calm, non-aggressive" energy and it makes the dogs relax and plaible
19:39:49 (12141) Deb: he never abuses them?!
19:40:07 (12141) Deb: Nah, I never seen or heard of that!
19:40:39 (12141) Deb: I used his "pssst" strategy on my lab - worked great though he did start peeing on my shoes so may be some unforseen side effects;0
19:40:56 (12141) Deb: but he so cute, I cannot stay mad!
19:41:16 (12141) Deb: have a link to the video?
19:42:00 (12141) kx: because like a smart gambler, he quitting while he ahead. It was all luck
19:42:19 (12141) Kx: I respect that, I have no respect he trying to cheat people by selling them a BS strategy
19:42:37 (12141) Kx: then what do you expect from someone who stole 1300 BTC from dooglus and lies about it
19:43:10 (12141) Deb: oh, well I hope it not true. I always liked that show and so does my dog
19:43:32 (12141) celeste: you sound like those pedophiles from dateline
19:44:03 (12141) Aahz: now you just jinxed us!
19:44:49 (12141) celeste: I always thought you should get paid. I just think you shoulda been banned after stealing the 1300 BTC
19:45:09 (12141) celeste: yeah, I know "no comment" - the favorite phrase of the guilty
19:45:43 (12141) Deb: you need to win a bet to get sex from Dooglus? Just go onto SR and buy some roofies:)
19:46:45 (12141) Celeste: I call you a thief because you are one. I call you a charlotone because you are one. This is not random name-calling. I call it as I see it - and you have no defense so all you can do is say "no comment"
19:47:12 (12141) celeste: but don't think you can come to chat and make like you a cool guy without me and others letting people know the type of guy you really are
19:48:04 (12141) Aahz: Dooglus had a brainfart and forgot to debit the 1300BTC from his account after processing the withdrawal. Celeste then gambled them away and tried to stck dooglus with the bill. Me and several others urged dooglus to rollback the bets which he
19:48:08 (12141) Aahz: did eventually.
19:48:22 (12141) Aahz: and then celeste added further insult by making up a ridiculous lie
19:49:20 (12141) usuagi: come on, you know it is a lie. Not even a well thought out one
19:50:06 (12141) Aahz: if you believe him, that is fine. I have a bridge to sell you then
19:50:46 (12141) Aahz: so paranoid and then left his labtop unattended for an hour in a public coffee shop whle logged into J-D
19:50:51 (12141) Aahz: yes make sperfect sense
19:51:24 (12141) Aahz: plausible is not the same as likely
19:51:39 (12141) Clouseau: no whales here, just a rat
19:52:17 (12141) bernadette won 200BTC in last couple minutes
19:53:44 (12141) wow bernadette got soem deep pockets
19:53:48 (12141) IT IS A WHALE!
19:54:24 (12141) ALL HANDS ON DECK - BERNADETTE THE WHALE HAS STRUCK
19:54:35 (12141) HOLD TIGHT OR DIVEST!
19:55:44 (12141) dec: I think lo has a .0000000001% greater chance than hihg;)
19:55:46 (12141) high
19:55:49 (12141) something like that
19:56:19 (12141) I do always worry that since the algorithm here is pseudorandom based on a seed which never changes unless you randomize it
19:56:33 (12141) that someone can figure out a pattern using 1000s of test bets first
19:57:30 (12141) usagi: listen, I do not know why people like Aahz insist on defending him. It obvious he a scumbag. But whatever, I don;t care of he invest o gambles. I just hate when he comes on chat acting like he some awesome guy
19:57:36 (12141) usagi: when he just a rat
19:58:07 (12141) dope: I am sure you are right, just always sneaks into my thought whenever you see a really lucky win streak
19:58:36 (12141) DeC: well you know, the way the # is calculated Low is ever ever soooo slightly more likely than high
19:59:36 (12141) DeC: well I hope he made some changes to prevent from happening in future
19:59:59 (12141) DeC: Doog's big mistake was not rolling it back right away and instead saying he would let it stand and then rolling back a couple days later
20:01:30 (12141) Celeste: you trying to sell your strategy based on your integrity. Just want it to be clear to everyone, you have no integrity
20:02:04 (12141) celeste: yes, that proves your innocence
20:02:32 (12141) Crap, Bernadette won back her coins and walked away
20:03:23 (12141) I am working on an auto-divest/invest bot. It auto-divests whenever profit goes up 10% within 24 hours. Then it auto-reinvests if it goes back down 10% again
20:03:36 (12141) Problem is I am not a great programmer
20:04:22 (12141) Rannasha: I got a 720 on my SAT math:)
20:04:43 (12141) Rannasha: not much, it was a long time ago
20:05:02 (12141) Rannasha: I have a doctorate too, just not in mathematics;)
20:06:11 (12141) Rannasha: the idea is to make it easier to sleep at night. Knowing there is some risk management built in to lower my individual variance even at the risk of giving up potential gains
20:07:19 (12141) mechs: my guess is it will work sometimes and sometimes it will cost more in the long run. It all luck. It not about maximizing returns, but reducing variance
20:08:02 (12141) Rannasha: don't you believe in reversion to the mean?
20:08:42 (12141) Rann: I understand each bet is indepedent of the prior. I am just saying would be nice to be able to control the variance to some degree.
20:09:07 (12141) Rann: I would be willing to set a upper limit to my short-term profit if the advantage is also protecting my principal
20:24:23 (12141) snny: was afk
20:24:40 (12141) snny: no bernadette lost like 300 and then won it back
20:24:49 (12141) snny: did very big bets tho - one bet was 170
20:25:20 (12141) also 200
20:33:54 (12141) In case anyone with programming skills interested: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=263522.new#new
20:34:11 (12141) Title: [WTB] An Auto-Invest/Divest Bot Script for Just-Dice - 4 BTC Bounty + Bonuses!
20:34:39 (12141) Jls: can configure it anyway you want
20:35:30 (12141) juhakall: good idea, though will need to use google translate
20:40:05 (12141) Bug: I rather make it a contest, the first one to complete it wins
20:40:54 (12141) Bug: as long as it can be compiled to an executable
20:40:59 (12141) Bug: any lanuage is fine
20:41:53 (12141) Dooglus: I want it to be easy for everyone to use
20:42:19 (12141) Dooglus: less technically savvy people cannot use python easily
20:43:01 (12141) Bug: if it were easy, I would not have 7.5 BTC worth of potential bounies in there
20:44:05 (12141) Bug: explain
20:44:43 (12141) Bug: then you need to make an installer pack that auto-installs python and then installs the script. Make it easy for anyone to use
20:44:53 (12141) claudette: won her coins back and left
20:48:54 (12141) Going AFK, but for someone wanting to earn some BTC, have some free time and coding skills, check out: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=263522.0
20:49:31 (12141) Topic: [WTB] An Auto-Invest/Divest Bot Script for Just-Dice - 4 BTC Bounty + Bonuses!
20:49:58 (12141) Aahz: probably right, but nice to have options
20:57:11 (12141) Dec: theoretically, the best investment strategy is to always stay invested and many will follow that
20:57:39 (12141) Dec: all this bot will definitely do is decrease variance for the investor. Whether it improves profits in the short-term is chance
20:58:48 (12141) Dooglus: you okay with me posting a bounty for such a bot?
20:59:01 (12141) Otoh: that will be an option
20:59:30 (12141) I think more investor options for risk control will ultimately lead to more investment
21:00:01 (12141) DeC: it can be used in that way but it can be used to try and game the system for more profit also
21:00:11 (12141) DeC; of course, that may backfire horriibly
21:01:03 (12141) Investment Bot Bounty: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=263522.0
21:13:00 (12141) Dooglus: why not have script that auto-replenished the hot wallet from the online wallet?
21:13:13 (12141) dooglus: seems more efficient and less labor intensive for you