Quote from: Remember remember the 5th of November on February 04, 2018, 06:55:21 PM

Quote from: Biodom on February 04, 2018, 06:51:39 PM

Quote from: bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2 on February 04, 2018, 06:22:36 PM

Quote from: Biodom on February 04, 2018, 05:08:19 PM

Yeah, why not? it is already at around Fib 61.8
If it goes down much lower, than it is a longer term bear market, not a 4.
If 7600 is A, then B is higher (to around 14K), then C (back to around 8k ), then much higher to wave 5.

I am really confused, ML said that the "historic 3" has ended, he even changed the name of the community to "witnesses of 5" (was 3 before), during the dump to 7.7 he said that it is nothing in comparison with the next correction. So it seems that he thinks that the 2015-2017 bull market has ended. Elsewhere on the side he said he thinks 4 would last only a couple of months, would be strange for a largest scale bear market, the previous one was almost 2 years.

If the dumps end here, in his red circle, and we go up within a couple of months (which I hope), I do not understand why to say that the historic 3 has ended? Then rise to 19k would be just (3) of 3, and the current correction (4) of 3.

Is the reason ML says historic 3 has ended is because we hit, or even went below, 61.8 Fib? Anyway, his current count seems less logical than all his previous ideas, I still think he may adjust it.

Regardless of what will happen and whether his is right or not, you got his opinion exactly backwards.
His opinion: wave 3 is 19.6K, 4 is what is going on now, later wave 5 at 50-100K.
What you are talking about as "nothing in comparison" is something that will come AFTER 5 at 50-100K.

So a 50-100k bullrun would mean a massive drop to the 4 or 3 digits?

He did not provide any numbers, but my take is maybe a 90-95% decrease from a very very high number.
Say, 60K to 6K or 120K to the same 6K. incidentally, the TenX guy (Julian Hosp) had similar numbers:
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/26/bitcoin-price-in-2018-could-hit-60000-but-another-crash-is-coming.html
Something for comparison is Amazon in 1999-2001 ($100 to $5). You know what happened afterwards Cheesy