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Re: Why I think User "alia" is a (potential) scammer? User "aTriz" maybe involved!
by
alia
on 28/02/2018, 05:27:32 UTC
How about the fact that it was only tested for 10 minutes, you only gave it one try. You also seem familar with the gambler's fallacy, something you'd know would disprove her/his theory.
About the gambler's fallacy, I thought it was only for half/half games such as roulette and dice? I am very unfamiliar with crash websites, sorry.

No, the gambler's fallacy can be applied to any gambling situation as one who practices this fallacy is embracing the illogic that "past results can be indicative of future results".

A -EV (negative expected value) bet means that once placed, the bet is no longer worth the monetary value attached to the bet. So unless you get some kind of pleasure in playing -EV games, you should not play them as you are expected to lose money.
I honestly have no idea what you mean, sorry.

Gambler's fallacy in dice: I rolled under 50 6 times in a row, over 50 should come up soon.
Gambler's fallacy in crash games: The game crashed 10 times in a row under 2x, we should get a high multiplier soon.

You can apply it to any game you wish.

This however depends on how long the red train is and/or how many under-50s you get. In theory, it works. Reality can be a little different sometimes.

Red trains and green trains do exist.