Quote from: WBF1 on March 02, 2018, 03:50:25 PM

Quote from: jeecom on March 02, 2018, 03:32:19 PM

Been away for a bit, happy to see we have some more blocks! Thanks canaan x 2 and biffa!

I was crunching some numbers, and I joined this pool after we found block 504409 (our block # 2202).

Looking at the 44 days I have been mining in the pool, I have been a party to 7 blocks, with a cumulative difficulty of 1,453.543%, or roughly 207.649% per block.

If I am correct, statistically speaking, we were expecting to find about 14 blocks in that same time frame, but due to bad luck we found half of that.

So my question is, is that correct? Am I reading and understanding the numbers properly?

Thanks in advance!

Back of envelope says that's probably correct. Looking at the blocks, 2202 was mid January. Overall January had over 100% luck, but mostly due to very good luck in early January. Late January had less than 100% luck average and all of February was pretty bad... 44% luck. So yeah I could buy your numbers.

Yep, you are very close on your estimate...the average pool hash rate after block 504409 (1/16/2018) until the latest block last night is 44.11PH/s so the expected block total for that average over the 44 days would have been 12.98. With 7 blocks found during that time, we are approximately 5.98 blocks shy of the expected 100% for that stretch of time.