Quote from: suchmoon on March 04, 2018, 01:44:34 PM

Was that before or after she asked nullius to donate to TPB? Not that it matters much though.

Was that a question about the mystical judgment of the cosmos, as expressed through random events? I am a certified cult leader; thus, I am qualified to speak on such matters.

Quote from: suchmoon on March 04, 2018, 01:44:34 PM

This degen thing explains some aspects of alia's increasingly desperate scam attempts and the belligerent rants after getting caught.

Alia, you have told me privately of some studies in psychology. Therefrom, you should realize that you are not immune to the vagaries of human nature; and if youre smart enough to master the difficult task of truly objective introspection, then you will realize that this is a textbook example of a gambler obsessed with discovering a secret way to win.

Youre far from the first or the last; and the result is always the same:

Quote from: LoyceV on March 04, 2018, 08:28:40 AM

This is exactly what I meant here:

Quote from: LoyceV on March 03, 2018, 08:30:58 PM

This is how (almost) all gamblers turn their profit into a loss, and then start "chasing losses", which is a great way to lose more money. Do you really think casinos would still exist if if would be possible to consistently beat them?

The long list of positive returns seemed very unlikely to happen, and this makes it a lot more likely.
What alia is doing is basically Martingale: if you lose, you do the same with a much higher bankroll. You can keep doing that, until you run out of bankroll.

[...]

I've seen many gamblers bust large amounts of money thinking they're invincible.

Whereupon I think this is a good step in the right direction:

Quote from: alia on March 04, 2018, 10:21:46 AM

Quote from: LoyceV on March 04, 2018, 08:28:40 AM

Quote from: alia on March 04, 2018, 04:35:48 AM

I was wrong about the script. It may have made money but I'm sure that was just dumb luck. I shall exit this thread and this account with my head bowed down in shame! Well, at least I could help tpb

I'm not sure if it's sarcasm or you really mean it, but I'm confident it's the right decision. I've seen many gamblers bust large amounts of money thinking they're invincible.

I don't mean it, but I'm sure I will some day. i'm just deluded right now. Only reason I said that was because I promised I would. Props to nully for the donation

Whereas this is notand it is inevitable over the course of time:

Quote from: suchmoon on March 04, 2018, 01:44:34 PM

Still at it:

Edit: busted at 1x:

OUCH! No, Im not enjoying that. Get out now!

I think you have sufficient intelligence to understand what is happening here, if only you will be sufficiently objective in your examination of your own actions. I do realize that true objectivity toward oneself, objectivity from within, is a rare ability and impossible for most people (as well as being almost a tautological contradiction). But you have been repeatedly shown, by people who do not hate you personally, that you are indeed deluded (at least in the colloquial sense). Now, those charts really drive home the point.

Quote from: alia on March 04, 2018, 10:21:46 AM

I don't mean it, but I'm sure I will some day. i'm just deluded right now. Only reason I said that was because I promised I would. Props to nully for the donation

Props to you for a tentative indication that you might actually admit youre wrong here. Admit it first to yourselfthats oftentimes the hardest part. Yes, Im also sure you will some day. But it would be better nowrather than someday after youve irreparably ruined yourself financially and in other ways, such as with reputational (and worse) consequences somewhere other than an Internet forum. You could totally wreck yourself with this stuff, IRL, all around. And you know it.