Quote from: Puppet on September 14, 2013, 09:39:19 PM

Quote from: monkee on September 14, 2013, 08:46:02 PM

yes, i know how difficulty works

Quote from: Puppet on September 14, 2013, 08:19:12 PM

the losses will be fairly consistent throughout the various batches.

i guess that is one opinion, just not mine

Its not just an opion, its math:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=283820.0

If we assume most of these asic vendors will indeed ship their 28nm according to their promises, 8PH will be added to the network before the end of this year, and another 7+PH is the months thereafter, If you dont believe they will, then neither will your presumed profitable asics ship, so it doesnt really change a thing, just delays everything. That 8PH is a very conservative tally that doesnt include a lot of potentially big players like ActiveMining or next gen chips from either Avalon or AsicMiner and isnt updated for Cointerra's second batch nor 2 new asics announced today. 10PH in december (+whatever delay you expect) and another 10PH in the month after is more realistic IMO.

An added 10PH means a difficulty of ~1.5 billion and doubling that, well, you guessed it, ~3 billion a month later. At those difficulties and current BTC exchange rate, your $14000 2TH miner will generate $2,660 in the first month and $1,330 in the next. Good luck with that ROI.

Just like Avalon delivered all their chip orders right? Klondikes running everywhere I suppose

BFL up to recent order delivery too right? That Monarch all set to ship on time

blah blah.. you sound like you just don't want anyone else to mine but you... pretty transparent