KNC Sept/Oct 500TH/s is way too low, because September are day1+2 [1,7] only(?) and ~800 orders [2].
Most of the orders contain at least one Jupiter, few orders contain one Saturn [6] which has not upgraded meanwhile [speculation].
October orders are shipped on 11 business days, so lets assume another 11*(800/2)= 4400 orders (containing Mercuries as well).
According to knc-staff Jupiter will have at least 500GH/s [3].
So let's calculate with 0,5TH/s as an average per order [6]: (800 + 4400) * 0,5TH/s =
2.600TH/sMaybe even more since there are orders with 6,8,10+ Jupiters [6].
Cloudhashing wanted to buy from knc as well [4],
don't know whether they actually pre-ordered. If so I guess it's one huge order. Looks like they did [7].
Those days knc is shipping ppl will think the network-graph must be broken as it is showing hashrate increase at an angle of 88° or so until October 15th when last ones are shipped [5]. At least it will not be comparable to anything we saw before during this time x_X
[1]
https://www.kncminer.com/news/news-32 "Finally we wish to confirm that yes we are still on track for our delivery towards the end of September."
[2]
https://www.kncminer.com/news/news-20 "The number was 890 but has dropped a little as not all bank transfers arrived in time."
[3]
http://forum.kncminer.com/forum/main-category/hardware/107-psu-recommendation-jupiter-the-largest-planet?p=1050#post1050 "According to our engineers an 850W, 80+ Gold certified PSU should be enough for a Jupiter running at the expected speed of 500 GH/s."
[4]
https://cloudhashing.com/blog/13-blog/press/65-bitcoin-mining-as-a-service-maas "He (Cloudhashings founder, Emmanuel Abiodun) is also in negotiation with KNC, which he says is pledging September delivery for its own ASIC products."
[5]
https://www.kncminer.com/news/news-33 " All current paid orders will be shipped no later than October 15th.
All new sales will reflect our November price point of;"
[6]
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=249065.0 "In Total 138 Jupiter 65 Saturn 17 Mercury"
[7]
https://www.cloudhashing.com/frequently-asked-questions "A1: (...) We are currently mining and by September 2013, will be operating at over 115 terahashes. This number will climb steeply to 300 terahashes by November 2013. "
"A2: We expect mining for September contracts to start by 26th September 2013 (...)"
*edits:
-added [speculation]
-removed [unverified] - thanks for contribution!
-added new links
-made it more readable
Hm, seems like the main assumption my foreward was based on, is actually a misinterpretation and wrong (?):
...hm...when thinking twice it does not make sense.
450TH/s divided by 0,4TH/s (Jupiter spec at this time) = 1125 Jupiters and no saturn, no mars
In the beginning those numbers in the cart were set to 3000 in case my memory doesn't play tricks on me
"According to Johan Rilegård the company has already received a few thousand orders for boxes"