Quote from: alia_alt2 on March 09, 2018, 10:18:17 AM

Quote from: o_e_l_e_o on March 09, 2018, 09:26:04 AM

Quote from: aTriz on March 09, 2018, 01:59:33 AM

Script

Code:

For anyone not familiar with the code, what this script does is the following:

Bets 1 bit at x1.08.
If you lose, doubles the bet, still at x1.08.
If you win, returns to the base bet of 1 bit.
Repeat

There are additional options to change the max bet and tweak the multipliers, but the script will run as above unless changed.

It is laughably simple. It is just Martingale, but even worse since you don't even recover your losses after a run of reds (x1.08 multiplier rather than the usual x2). At a 1.08 multiplier, with a success rate of 91.67%, you are making an average profit of (0.9167*0.08)-([1-0.9167]*1)=-1%. Over the long term, you will then run in to the problem of any Martingale with exponentially increasing losses.

In my personal opinion, to claim that this is worth 50BTC is nothing short of delusional. The most impressive thing is the amount of forum activity she has created surrounding a script that could be written by a middle-schooler, and equally proved to be worthless by a middle-schooler.

This is incorrect. I gave specific values to aTriz to plug into the script (1.08x is correct but some other values are supposed to be changed, the 2x is supposed to be much lower and every 1 hour you are supposed to change some values). Luckily he didn't leak all of that.

Quote from: o_e_l_e_o on March 09, 2018, 09:40:27 AM

Quote from: Joel_Jantsen on March 09, 2018, 08:11:33 AM

And here is a prettier version of the script,

Code:

let initialBettingValues = {
baseBet : 0.0000001,
baseChance : 91.851,
firstLossMultiplier : 4,
lossMultiplier : 5,
lossChance : 79.360
}
let nextBet = initialBettingValues ? initialBettingValues : "0"
let chance = baseChance ? baseChance : "0"

doBet =(win,currentStreak,previousbet)=> {
if(win){
nextBet = initialBettingValues.baseBet
chance = baseBet
} else if (currentStreak === -1){
//First Loss
nextBet = previousbet * firstLossMultiplier
} else {
nextbet = previousbet * lossMultiplier
}
chance = lossChance
}

I've also been watching her betting history and can confirm this is exactly the new script she is using. The only differences are you calculated the base chance and loss chance incorrectly. Accurate values are base chance = 0.99/1.08 = 0.9167 and loss chance = 0.99/1.25 = 0.792.

This, as previously, is just another modified Martingale. This one at least recovers your losses after a run of reds, but has the same problems as any Martingale, in that bets grow exponentially on a run of losses, leading to rapid bankruptcy.

You are right. However, it completely depends on your bank roll. If you have a BR of 1000 BTC and you run the script with 1 bit at a time, the chances of you ever going bust are nearly zero. You cannot possibly know the odds of me going bust without knowing my BR.

Side note: @theymos you banned me for doxing, but all I did was post the name of aTriz, which was already plastered all over the forum by him. It's not a dox if it's public info made available by him. Please clear this up

The numbers do not matter. Any variable of Martingale will lose money. Anyone with a middle school understanding of maths can see this.

Quote from: mprep on July 21, 2014, 05:27:51 PM

25. Ban evasion (using or creating accounts while one of your accounts is banned) is not allowed.

Good riddance to you, scammer.