Quote from: Carlton Banks on March 18, 2018, 09:13:06 PM

Quote from: Quickseller on March 18, 2018, 08:17:06 PM

Quote from: Carlton Banks on March 18, 2018, 11:49:15 AM

If only handful of well connected nodes with high up-time were to open channels with each other, both your scenarios won't happen.

A well connected node is another word for hub and spoke...

Also, why don't you explain a topology that could exist in LN that would not result in LN payments failing due to LN peer node downtime? I don't think there is one.

I did

Quote from: Carlton Banks on March 18, 2018, 11:49:15 AM

If only handful of well connected nodes with high up-time were to open channels with each other, both your scenarios won't happen.

Some nodes would be well connected, but not in a hub & spoke fashion.

This is not hypothetical, Lightning network is currently running and already beginning to resemble my description.

Quote from: Peter Todd on Twitter

Initial impressions of Lightning on testnet: [...] payments fail more often than not.[...]
(source)