Quote from: huhai0978 on October 09, 2013, 03:20:18 PM

Quote from: Rival on October 09, 2013, 03:11:00 PM

Quote from: huhai0978 on October 09, 2013, 03:08:14 PM

Quote from: binaryFate on October 09, 2013, 02:43:18 PM

Quote from: huhai0978 on October 09, 2013, 02:37:18 PM

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Quote from: huhai0978 on October 09, 2013, 02:02:00 PM

Quote from: velacreations on October 09, 2013, 01:36:31 AM

I'm thinking AM direct shares are a good thing to own right now...

I am thinking the opposite. The divident will be less than 0.3B during the whole life span of AM. Who would pay 1B for 0.3B divident in the next 10 yrs?
Keeping direct AM share is kind like committing suicide.

How are you making this calculation?

The div is decreasing at the rate of 10%/week. It is not diffcult to calculate how much you can get back.
My guess is there would be zero divident early next year.

This decreasing trend is expected when you keep the same hash rate in a growing network.
Your expectation of nearly zero early next year would be true if AM would not build any new hardware.
Your innocent "it is not difficult to calculate" is... innocent. Either you are very naive, or you are a troll. Or you think they won't bring any new hardware, in which case well there is not much to debate, but I think the majority would disagree with you on this point, bears or bulls. Time will tell (HW is expected soon).

Friedcat said the profit margin would be one digit next year. It's friedcat saying it, not me. Friedcat is too optimistic. Profit margin dropped from 82% in June to current 30% maybe, and it continues to drop. No one can stop it. I think it will hit zero sometime next year. The profit will be zero no matter how many hardwares you build. You are just too naive.

This projection could be made for any mining stock or hardware manufacturer. Profit margins are indeed falling for 130nm technology. This does not mean margins for Gen2 and Gen3 will start out where Gen1 left off.

Trust me. Even bitfury will not make any money in 8 months.

If no one is making any profit, how will anything get developed and brought to market? You are predicting the end of bitcoin mining, which I feel is unlikely. Folks will always find improved designs, improved processes, and will continue to profit for the foreseeable future.