Quote from: fizzmine on November 11, 2013, 12:26:10 PM

Quote from: dbbit on November 07, 2013, 11:46:05 PM

So I know that conventional graphs has us at 7.5 billion difficulty (58000 ph/s) in a year.

Are you just extending the exponential growth rate of the past month or so out a year? There's no way its going to continue like that. Sure there will be high diff jumps down the line, but there's simply not enough silicon being fabbed to continue that growth indefinitely.

I think the more accurate estimates are based on Bitcoin ASIC machines actually in the pipeline no?

7.5 billion actually isn't all that bad, but I think endgame as you've pointed out can be anywhere in the range of 5b-10b. Also, this depends significantly on how much 1 btc is going for, the higher the price the higher difficulty goes.