Quote from: myrond on December 07, 2013, 12:30:06 AM

With the next block:

Current
Difficulty   DGM Estimate   Current Block Shares   Duration   CDF
707408283.0514985    8.49823019    97,030,022    07:37:19    12.82%

Estimated payout of 8.49 for the entire pool? Out of a 25 coin payout... I'm going to be switching off of this pool. Maybe I just don't understand DGM very well.... but based on those predictions I don't like it.

With that last block:

Id   Block   Time   Duration   Block Reward   DGM Payment   Shares   State
452   273428   2013-12-06 17:43   183:13:36   25.10242339   28.76415763   2,325,697,441   valid

Other blocks paid an extra 3 BTC due to the bad variance... I guess at this point the variance is way too high for me.

2013-12-07: The pool struck another duplicate block problem today with a large payout amount. I've resolved the block invalid and will try to track down what caused it. A DGM adjustment is currently underway so DGM estimates will be inaccurate for a period. As part of the DGM adjustment I've also adjusted the parameter that makes the pool pay more on long blocks. I've set this to be lower. This means long blocks will not pay so much more than 25 BTC but shorter blocks will pay more to offset it. The previous setting of about 23% extra payment was causing too much variance for the pool with the current high bitcoin value. This adjustment will also cause an innacuracy in the DGM estimates until it settles.