Quote from: arepo on January 07, 2014, 08:38:18 PM

Quote from: MAbtc on January 07, 2014, 08:27:12 PM

Quote from: T.Stuart on January 07, 2014, 08:04:21 PM

Quote from: arepo on January 07, 2014, 07:49:09 PM

so that's where we're headed now. bumpy consolidation into a final capitulation event, and then we can finally be done with the craziness of the December crash. however, if the bubble paradigm we've seen so many times before holds we will not see sub $450 and we will likely not see sub $600.

Arepo - excuse my wish for precise figures but can you please give me a target I can quote you on?

You know where I stand!

That's a bit unreasonable. That's a pretty specific range for a bottom.

those are just lower bounds. i do have a much more specific target. i can answer the questions "What is the target price for capitulation? What is the expected timeframe? and What price action would invalidate this model?" if i can raise the bounty described in my previous post. i hope this arrangement seems reasonable. i really can't just go around posting my notes in their entirety on a public forum Cheesy

forum members who are interested can feel free use this thread to make pledges so that a number of individuals can contribute small amounts but be confident that the bounty will be reached and the information will be released.

--arepo

Frankly I think that's a bit steep! We have to pay you to be more specific? But you put plenty of effort - must be hours every week on here not to mention the calculations - into reporting impending capitulations and then we ask questions and have to pay?

This is a one-off test of your methods. Rise to the challenge. You have called me out before for not explaining my position better. I have tried - and spent time doing so (time writing is money for me as it's my profession!) - but never asked anyone for anything or even put an address for donations. This is a chat forum!