Quote from: xitrum on August 17, 2018, 11:15:54 PM

Quote from: smokeydog on September 24, 2017, 01:37:07 PM

Adams Smith wrote that the price of all things are equivalent to the human labor involved in their exploitation. The price of gold is determined by the cost in human labor to mine it. It can then be exchanged for another commodity which takes an equal amount of labor to create it.

Over time I have been able to find ways to place a price on stocks which I can use to evaluate what their value is to me. I can then buy and sell based on what I determine as value at any time.

Im not a currency speculator but I also believe the US dollar is being killed. I dont like having much of a cash position but would rather be fully invested. At this time what I see is a highly inflated value of the S&P 500. Any bonds other the very short term bonds come with too much risk tied to the Feds low interest rate policy and the increasing money supply along with quantitative easing which is placing too much fake money on the Feds balance sheet.

After many years I have developed a feel or intuition to tell me when prices are out of line. When it comes to bitcoin I am at a loss. I like the core concept of bitcoin and long term it seem like it will all work out but its value is another issue. I just dont have a feel for what its worth in exchange for food, a house, a car, gold equivalent. It seem that it should be relatively close in value to the cost incurred by the bitcoin miners. How do I find out what the current cost is to mine bitcoins. It cost to mine a well know number kind of like the PE for a stork or index?

I have started to buy small amounts which I plan to hold but I really dont like the volatility. It is also difficult to invest in something when I dont really have any history to give me a clue of somethings value. I doubt I would hold if bitcoin went over 5000. It seems to be moving a bit too fast.

We can not deny the huge value of bitcoin to humans, you can see that bitcoin as a breakthrough in 4.0 technology, the market is constantly decreasing in the long run and bitcoin prices will be able to continue to fall sharply next time but you can see that bitoin is the beginning of the new transaction form. All transactions are easy and anonymous.

The value of bitcoins today is starting to grow again from $5k dollars and it was a good sign that there are still a lot of people who are holding their coins and waiting for the price to pump up.