Quote from: deepceleron on August 15, 2011, 01:53:55 AM

Quote from: bb on August 15, 2011, 01:19:09 AM

Quote from: deepceleron on August 14, 2011, 08:02:41 PM

I assume you are giving each pool a table of random block find times (randomly generate a high-precision round percentile 0% to 100%, turn that percentile into number of individual hashes required using correct math, turn that into times using hashrate), and then are simulating the switching and share percentages earned.

No. I am using Meni's formula.

One situation this does not address is the bit-hopping effect itself. If 100ghash hops on and off 100ghash pools, the early shares will be go by twice as fast, meaning there will be less cheating time than predicted. All pools will spend more time in the > .43 difficulty range; lowering the chance of there being a pool to hop to with share earnings higher than backup.

This should just shift pools (and speeds) around a bit, but doesn't change the outcome.