In the absence of a black swan event - and ten years after the white paper it doesn't look like we will see one - there is only one conclusion you can make.
By this criterion, we can expect Bitcoin to survive about 10 years.
Taleb mentions, if I recall correctly, the term "at least" / "minimum" for non-perishable stuff. Thus, following the Lindy effect, a non-perishable good that has existed for 10 years is expected to at least exist another 10 years.
Now, I suppose Bitcoin is technically an implementation of something non-perishable, which somewhat weakens the Lindy effect.